Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen have solidified frontrunner status after standout second rehearsals in Vienna, propelling their Liekinheitin to 30-40% implied win probability across bookmakers and boosting trader consensus for a 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% on Polymarket. Greece's Akylas with Ferto and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trail closely at around 25-30% and 10-12%, respectively, creating a competitive grand final field post-first semi-final qualifiers that included Finland and a controversial Israel entry amid boycotts. Jury-televote splits, bloc voting, and today's second semi-final results heighten upset potential, tempering expectations for blowouts while favoring moderate leads over nail-biters under 25 points (20.5%) or blowouts above 75 (11.5%). Final on May 16 could shift dynamics rapidly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
<25
21%
25-49
35%
50-74
24%
75-99
12%
100-124
6%
125-149
5%
150+
4%
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 may 2026
<25
$691 Vol.
21%
25-49
$1,708 Vol.
35%
50-74
$658 Vol.
24%
75-99
$593 Vol.
12%
100-124
$829 Vol.
6%
125-149
$866 Vol.
5%
150+
$1,118 Vol.
4%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen have solidified frontrunner status after standout second rehearsals in Vienna, propelling their Liekinheitin to 30-40% implied win probability across bookmakers and boosting trader consensus for a 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% on Polymarket. Greece's Akylas with Ferto and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trail closely at around 25-30% and 10-12%, respectively, creating a competitive grand final field post-first semi-final qualifiers that included Finland and a controversial Israel entry amid boycotts. Jury-televote splits, bloc voting, and today's second semi-final results heighten upset potential, tempering expectations for blowouts while favoring moderate leads over nail-biters under 25 points (20.5%) or blowouts above 75 (11.5%). Final on May 16 could shift dynamics rapidly.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volumen
$6,464Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen have solidified frontrunner status after standout second rehearsals in Vienna, propelling their Liekinheitin to 30-40% implied win probability across bookmakers and boosting trader consensus for a 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% on Polymarket. Greece's Akylas with Ferto and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trail closely at around 25-30% and 10-12%, respectively, creating a competitive grand final field post-first semi-final qualifiers that included Finland and a controversial Israel entry amid boycotts. Jury-televote splits, bloc voting, and today's second semi-final results heighten upset potential, tempering expectations for blowouts while favoring moderate leads over nail-biters under 25 points (20.5%) or blowouts above 75 (11.5%). Final on May 16 could shift dynamics rapidly.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$6,464Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen have solidified frontrunner status after standout second rehearsals in Vienna, propelling their Liekinheitin to 30-40% implied win probability across bookmakers and boosting trader consensus for a 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% on Polymarket. Greece's Akylas with Ferto and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trail closely at around 25-30% and 10-12%, respectively, creating a competitive grand final field post-first semi-final qualifiers that included Finland and a controversial Israel entry amid boycotts. Jury-televote splits, bloc voting, and today's second semi-final results heighten upset potential, tempering expectations for blowouts while favoring moderate leads over nail-biters under 25 points (20.5%) or blowouts above 75 (11.5%). Final on May 16 could shift dynamics rapidly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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