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icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Australia 70%

Ukraine 12.3%

Bulgaria 10.5%

Romania 8.4%

Polymarket

$196,343 Vol.

Australia 70%

Ukraine 12.3%

Bulgaria 10.5%

Romania 8.4%

Polymarket

$196,343 Vol.

Australia

$37,547 Vol.

70%

Ukraine

$11,779 Vol.

12%

Bulgaria

$11,999 Vol.

11%

Romania

$15,649 Vol.

8%

Denmark

$45,004 Vol.

2%

Czechia

$9,186 Vol.

1%

Norway

$7,900 Vol.

<1%

Albania

$7,938 Vol.

<1%

Cyprus

$6,922 Vol.

<1%

Malta

$8,110 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Australia as the overwhelming 69.5% implied favorite to win Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final, driven by Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" captivating dress rehearsals on May 13 with its innovative light-and-shadow staging, Swarovski crystal gown, live harpist, and exclusive pyro effects—elevating her from strong qualifier to projected top-scorer per analytical models like The Model. Ukraine holds steady at 12.3% on diaspora-fueled televote reliability for LELÉKA's emotive "Ridnym," while Bulgaria's DARA surged to 10.5% after "Bangaranga"'s high-energy runs edged Australia in ESCXTRA's audience poll by five votes, and Romania's "Choke Me" climbed to 8.4% via bold rehearsals. Detailed jury-televote points reveal post-Grand Final on May 16 could confirm or upend these dynamics amid Vienna's buzz.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$196,343
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Australia as the overwhelming 69.5% implied favorite to win Eurovision 2026's Second Semi-Final, driven by Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" captivating dress rehearsals on May 13 with its innovative light-and-shadow staging, Swarovski crystal gown, live harpist, and exclusive pyro effects—elevating her from strong qualifier to projected top-scorer per analytical models like The Model. Ukraine holds steady at 12.3% on diaspora-fueled televote reliability for LELÉKA's emotive "Ridnym," while Bulgaria's DARA surged to 10.5% after "Bangaranga"'s high-energy runs edged Australia in ESCXTRA's audience poll by five votes, and Romania's "Choke Me" climbed to 8.4% via bold rehearsals. Detailed jury-televote points reveal post-Grand Final on May 16 could confirm or upend these dynamics amid Vienna's buzz.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$196,343
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Australia" con 70%, seguido de "Ukraine" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" ha generado $196.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" es "Australia" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ukraine" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.