Recent Q2 2026 euro area GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding expectations after flat or negative Q1 prints, yet forward-looking indicators such as May-June PMIs at contractionary levels around 47.5 and subdued consumer confidence signal persistent weakness. Consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, and IMF place full-year 2026 growth near 0.8–1.0%, with downward revisions tied to elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and softer external demand. Key swing factors for Q3 include further energy price volatility, German fiscal stimulus effects, and incoming high-frequency data on industrial production and services activity. The evenly matched market-implied odds across growth buckets reflect this elevated uncertainty around whether momentum stabilizes or tips toward stagnation amid geopolitical and inflationary crosscurrents.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<0.0% 50%
0.0-0.3% 50%
0.4-0.7% 50%
0.8-1.1% 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
50%
0.0-0.3%
50%
0.4-0.7%
50%
0.8-1.1%
50%
1.2-1.5%
50%
1.6-1.9%
50%
2.0%+
50%
<0.0% 50%
0.0-0.3% 50%
0.4-0.7% 50%
0.8-1.1% 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
$0 Vol.
50%
0.0-0.3%
$0 Vol.
50%
0.4-0.7%
$0 Vol.
50%
0.8-1.1%
$0 Vol.
50%
1.2-1.5%
$0 Vol.
50%
1.6-1.9%
$0 Vol.
50%
2.0%+
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 euro area GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding expectations after flat or negative Q1 prints, yet forward-looking indicators such as May-June PMIs at contractionary levels around 47.5 and subdued consumer confidence signal persistent weakness. Consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, and IMF place full-year 2026 growth near 0.8–1.0%, with downward revisions tied to elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and softer external demand. Key swing factors for Q3 include further energy price volatility, German fiscal stimulus effects, and incoming high-frequency data on industrial production and services activity. The evenly matched market-implied odds across growth buckets reflect this elevated uncertainty around whether momentum stabilizes or tips toward stagnation amid geopolitical and inflationary crosscurrents.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 euro area GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding expectations after flat or negative Q1 prints, yet forward-looking indicators such as May-June PMIs at contractionary levels around 47.5 and subdued consumer confidence signal persistent weakness. Consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, and IMF place full-year 2026 growth near 0.8–1.0%, with downward revisions tied to elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and softer external demand. Key swing factors for Q3 include further energy price volatility, German fiscal stimulus effects, and incoming high-frequency data on industrial production and services activity. The evenly matched market-implied odds across growth buckets reflect this elevated uncertainty around whether momentum stabilizes or tips toward stagnation amid geopolitical and inflationary crosscurrents.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 euro area GDP expanded 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding expectations after flat or negative Q1 prints, yet forward-looking indicators such as May-June PMIs at contractionary levels around 47.5 and subdued consumer confidence signal persistent weakness. Consensus forecasts from the ECB, OECD, and IMF place full-year 2026 growth near 0.8–1.0%, with downward revisions tied to elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and softer external demand. Key swing factors for Q3 include further energy price volatility, German fiscal stimulus effects, and incoming high-frequency data on industrial production and services activity. The evenly matched market-implied odds across growth buckets reflect this elevated uncertainty around whether momentum stabilizes or tips toward stagnation amid geopolitical and inflationary crosscurrents.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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