Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, exceeding earlier expectations and supporting the market-implied 51% probability on the 0.8-1.1% year-over-year range for Q3. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate full-year 2026 growth of 0.9%, with quarterly momentum slowing to around 0.2% in Q3 due to heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict that lifted July HICP inflation to 2.9%. The ECB’s subsequent 25-basis-point rate hike reinforces tighter financial conditions, while resilient labor markets and fiscal support provide offsets. The preliminary Q3 flash estimate scheduled for October 30 will resolve the market amid ongoing geopolitical and weather-related uncertainty that keeps higher-growth bins at lower implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.8-1.1% 52%
1.2-1.5% 25.6%
0.4-0.7% 14.5%
0.0-0.3% 5.5%
$63,030 Vol.
$63,030 Vol.
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
6%
0.4-0.7%
14%
0.8-1.1%
52%
1.2-1.5%
27%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 52%
1.2-1.5% 25.6%
0.4-0.7% 14.5%
0.0-0.3% 5.5%
$63,030 Vol.
$63,030 Vol.
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
$1,774 Vol.
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,692 Vol.
6%
0.4-0.7%
$9,978 Vol.
14%
0.8-1.1%
$42,856 Vol.
52%
1.2-1.5%
$3,591 Vol.
27%
1.6-1.9%
$1,702 Vol.
<1%
2.0%+
$1,437 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, exceeding earlier expectations and supporting the market-implied 51% probability on the 0.8-1.1% year-over-year range for Q3. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate full-year 2026 growth of 0.9%, with quarterly momentum slowing to around 0.2% in Q3 due to heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict that lifted July HICP inflation to 2.9%. The ECB’s subsequent 25-basis-point rate hike reinforces tighter financial conditions, while resilient labor markets and fiscal support provide offsets. The preliminary Q3 flash estimate scheduled for October 30 will resolve the market amid ongoing geopolitical and weather-related uncertainty that keeps higher-growth bins at lower implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$63,030Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, exceeding earlier expectations and supporting the market-implied 51% probability on the 0.8-1.1% year-over-year range for Q3. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate full-year 2026 growth of 0.9%, with quarterly momentum slowing to around 0.2% in Q3 due to heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict that lifted July HICP inflation to 2.9%. The ECB’s subsequent 25-basis-point rate hike reinforces tighter financial conditions, while resilient labor markets and fiscal support provide offsets. The preliminary Q3 flash estimate scheduled for October 30 will resolve the market amid ongoing geopolitical and weather-related uncertainty that keeps higher-growth bins at lower implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$63,030Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, exceeding earlier expectations and supporting the market-implied 51% probability on the 0.8-1.1% year-over-year range for Q3. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate full-year 2026 growth of 0.9%, with quarterly momentum slowing to around 0.2% in Q3 due to heatwaves, droughts, and elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict that lifted July HICP inflation to 2.9%. The ECB’s subsequent 25-basis-point rate hike reinforces tighter financial conditions, while resilient labor markets and fiscal support provide offsets. The preliminary Q3 flash estimate scheduled for October 30 will resolve the market amid ongoing geopolitical and weather-related uncertainty that keeps higher-growth bins at lower implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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