Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, revised higher from the initial 0.4% flash estimate and supported by a surge in Irish output plus net trade gains. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate a moderation to around 0.2% q/q growth in Q3, consistent with the market’s leading 0.8-1.1% annualized bin at 54.5% implied probability. Survey indicators through August point to improving business confidence and manufacturing momentum amid easing geopolitical tensions, though a temporary summer heatwave and softer industrial production in July introduce some downside risk. Traders are also monitoring the late-October Q3 flash release and any further signals on energy prices or external demand that could shift the near-term path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0.8-1.1% 55%
1.2-1.5% 26.4%
0.4-0.7% 13.5%
0.0-0.3% 5.5%
$62,933 Vol.
$62,933 Vol.
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
6%
0.4-0.7%
13%
0.8-1.1%
55%
1.2-1.5%
26%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 55%
1.2-1.5% 26.4%
0.4-0.7% 13.5%
0.0-0.3% 5.5%
$62,933 Vol.
$62,933 Vol.
30 oct 2026
<0.0%
$1,774 Vol.
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,692 Vol.
6%
0.4-0.7%
$9,978 Vol.
13%
0.8-1.1%
$42,767 Vol.
55%
1.2-1.5%
$3,582 Vol.
26%
1.6-1.9%
$1,702 Vol.
<1%
2.0%+
$1,437 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, revised higher from the initial 0.4% flash estimate and supported by a surge in Irish output plus net trade gains. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate a moderation to around 0.2% q/q growth in Q3, consistent with the market’s leading 0.8-1.1% annualized bin at 54.5% implied probability. Survey indicators through August point to improving business confidence and manufacturing momentum amid easing geopolitical tensions, though a temporary summer heatwave and softer industrial production in July introduce some downside risk. Traders are also monitoring the late-October Q3 flash release and any further signals on energy prices or external demand that could shift the near-term path.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$62,933Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, revised higher from the initial 0.4% flash estimate and supported by a surge in Irish output plus net trade gains. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate a moderation to around 0.2% q/q growth in Q3, consistent with the market’s leading 0.8-1.1% annualized bin at 54.5% implied probability. Survey indicators through August point to improving business confidence and manufacturing momentum amid easing geopolitical tensions, though a temporary summer heatwave and softer industrial production in July introduce some downside risk. Traders are also monitoring the late-October Q3 flash release and any further signals on energy prices or external demand that could shift the near-term path.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$62,933Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurostat data showed euro area GDP expanding 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026, revised higher from the initial 0.4% flash estimate and supported by a surge in Irish output plus net trade gains. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate a moderation to around 0.2% q/q growth in Q3, consistent with the market’s leading 0.8-1.1% annualized bin at 54.5% implied probability. Survey indicators through August point to improving business confidence and manufacturing momentum amid easing geopolitical tensions, though a temporary summer heatwave and softer industrial production in July introduce some downside risk. Traders are also monitoring the late-October Q3 flash release and any further signals on energy prices or external demand that could shift the near-term path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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