Mercedes holds a slim 46% implied probability edge over McLaren Mastercard at 40% for constructor pole position at the Canadian Grand Prix on Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, driven by their unbeaten race record this season—including Kimi Antonelli's Miami victory—and a significant upgrade package targeting aero gains and improved starts worth up to 0.3 seconds per lap. McLaren's recent momentum, with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri securing second and third in Miami, keeps them close, bolstered by their own major floor and aero updates for Montreal's braking-heavy layout and low-downforce demands. Red Bull and Ferrari trail at 17% and 15% amid weaker early-season qualifying pace, while midfielders like Williams and newcomers Cadillac lag far behind in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMclaren Mastercard 50%
Mercedes 49%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 may 2026
Mclaren Mastercard
40%
Mercedes
49%
Red Bull
20%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
4%
Cadillac
3%
Alpine
2%
Aston Martin
2%
Racing Bulls
2%
Tgr Haas
1%
Audi Revolut
1%
Mclaren Mastercard 50%
Mercedes 49%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 may 2026
Mclaren Mastercard
$176 Vol.
40%
Mercedes
$175 Vol.
49%
Red Bull
$107 Vol.
20%
Ferrari
$76 Vol.
18%
Williams
$250 Vol.
4%
Cadillac
$248 Vol.
3%
Alpine
$308 Vol.
2%
Aston Martin
$245 Vol.
2%
Racing Bulls
$399 Vol.
2%
Tgr Haas
$300 Vol.
1%
Audi Revolut
$416 Vol.
1%
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes holds a slim 46% implied probability edge over McLaren Mastercard at 40% for constructor pole position at the Canadian Grand Prix on Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, driven by their unbeaten race record this season—including Kimi Antonelli's Miami victory—and a significant upgrade package targeting aero gains and improved starts worth up to 0.3 seconds per lap. McLaren's recent momentum, with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri securing second and third in Miami, keeps them close, bolstered by their own major floor and aero updates for Montreal's braking-heavy layout and low-downforce demands. Red Bull and Ferrari trail at 17% and 15% amid weaker early-season qualifying pace, while midfielders like Williams and newcomers Cadillac lag far behind in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Volumen
$2,701Fecha de finalización
30 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes holds a slim 46% implied probability edge over McLaren Mastercard at 40% for constructor pole position at the Canadian Grand Prix on Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, driven by their unbeaten race record this season—including Kimi Antonelli's Miami victory—and a significant upgrade package targeting aero gains and improved starts worth up to 0.3 seconds per lap. McLaren's recent momentum, with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri securing second and third in Miami, keeps them close, bolstered by their own major floor and aero updates for Montreal's braking-heavy layout and low-downforce demands. Red Bull and Ferrari trail at 17% and 15% amid weaker early-season qualifying pace, while midfielders like Williams and newcomers Cadillac lag far behind in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 23, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volumen
$2,701Fecha de finalización
30 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes holds a slim 46% implied probability edge over McLaren Mastercard at 40% for constructor pole position at the Canadian Grand Prix on Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, driven by their unbeaten race record this season—including Kimi Antonelli's Miami victory—and a significant upgrade package targeting aero gains and improved starts worth up to 0.3 seconds per lap. McLaren's recent momentum, with Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri securing second and third in Miami, keeps them close, bolstered by their own major floor and aero updates for Montreal's braking-heavy layout and low-downforce demands. Red Bull and Ferrari trail at 17% and 15% amid weaker early-season qualifying pace, while midfielders like Williams and newcomers Cadillac lag far behind in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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