The closely bunched probabilities for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D winner reflect a competitive four-team race driven by the United States' co-host advantage and recent head-to-head results against its opponents. The Americans hold a slight edge in trader consensus thanks to home crowds and familiarity from 2025 friendlies, where they defeated Australia and Paraguay but fell to Türkiye. Injury concerns for key Turkish and Paraguayan players add uncertainty, while Australia enters relatively healthy and capable of causing upsets on current form. These factors, combined with the expanded tournament's third-place advancement path, keep the implied probabilities tight among the top two contenders heading into the June group stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEstados Unidos 40%
Türkiye 37%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 8.9%
$44,823 Vol.
$44,823 Vol.
27 jun 2026
Estados Unidos
40%
Türkiye
37%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
9%
Estados Unidos 40%
Türkiye 37%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 8.9%
$44,823 Vol.
$44,823 Vol.
27 jun 2026
Estados Unidos
$12,905 Vol.
40%
Türkiye
$17,618 Vol.
37%
Paraguay
$8,655 Vol.
18%
Australia
$5,645 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched probabilities for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D winner reflect a competitive four-team race driven by the United States' co-host advantage and recent head-to-head results against its opponents. The Americans hold a slight edge in trader consensus thanks to home crowds and familiarity from 2025 friendlies, where they defeated Australia and Paraguay but fell to Türkiye. Injury concerns for key Turkish and Paraguayan players add uncertainty, while Australia enters relatively healthy and capable of causing upsets on current form. These factors, combined with the expanded tournament's third-place advancement path, keep the implied probabilities tight among the top two contenders heading into the June group stage.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Volumen
$44,823Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched probabilities for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D winner reflect a competitive four-team race driven by the United States' co-host advantage and recent head-to-head results against its opponents. The Americans hold a slight edge in trader consensus thanks to home crowds and familiarity from 2025 friendlies, where they defeated Australia and Paraguay but fell to Türkiye. Injury concerns for key Turkish and Paraguayan players add uncertainty, while Australia enters relatively healthy and capable of causing upsets on current form. These factors, combined with the expanded tournament's third-place advancement path, keep the implied probabilities tight among the top two contenders heading into the June group stage.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$44,823Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely bunched probabilities for the FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D winner reflect a competitive four-team race driven by the United States' co-host advantage and recent head-to-head results against its opponents. The Americans hold a slight edge in trader consensus thanks to home crowds and familiarity from 2025 friendlies, where they defeated Australia and Paraguay but fell to Türkiye. Injury concerns for key Turkish and Paraguayan players add uncertainty, while Australia enters relatively healthy and capable of causing upsets on current form. These factors, combined with the expanded tournament's third-place advancement path, keep the implied probabilities tight among the top two contenders heading into the June group stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes