In Georgia's 13th congressional district, a heavily Democratic seat in the Atlanta metro area, traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to an outright winner in the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan composition and recent primary results, including Jasmine Clark securing the Democratic nomination with 56% support, point to limited competition that typically produces majority outcomes on the first ballot under Georgia's runoff rules. Historical patterns in similar safe seats show low likelihood of splitting the vote enough to force a December runoff, though turnout variations or unexpected third-party effects remain possible factors. The special election process following the prior incumbent's death has not altered the underlying electoral dynamics for the full term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
94% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Sí
94% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.In Georgia's 13th congressional district, a heavily Democratic seat in the Atlanta metro area, traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to an outright winner in the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan composition and recent primary results, including Jasmine Clark securing the Democratic nomination with 56% support, point to limited competition that typically produces majority outcomes on the first ballot under Georgia's runoff rules. Historical patterns in similar safe seats show low likelihood of splitting the vote enough to force a December runoff, though turnout variations or unexpected third-party effects remain possible factors. The special election process following the prior incumbent's death has not altered the underlying electoral dynamics for the full term.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volumen
$398Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.In Georgia's 13th congressional district, a heavily Democratic seat in the Atlanta metro area, traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to an outright winner in the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan composition and recent primary results, including Jasmine Clark securing the Democratic nomination with 56% support, point to limited competition that typically produces majority outcomes on the first ballot under Georgia's runoff rules. Historical patterns in similar safe seats show low likelihood of splitting the vote enough to force a December runoff, though turnout variations or unexpected third-party effects remain possible factors. The special election process following the prior incumbent's death has not altered the underlying electoral dynamics for the full term.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Volumen
$398Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In Georgia's 13th congressional district, a heavily Democratic seat in the Atlanta metro area, traders assign a 93.5% implied probability to an outright winner in the November 2026 general election. The district's partisan composition and recent primary results, including Jasmine Clark securing the Democratic nomination with 56% support, point to limited competition that typically produces majority outcomes on the first ballot under Georgia's runoff rules. Historical patterns in similar safe seats show low likelihood of splitting the vote enough to force a December runoff, though turnout variations or unexpected third-party effects remain possible factors. The special election process following the prior incumbent's death has not altered the underlying electoral dynamics for the full term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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