**Multiple Republican candidates are competing in Louisiana’s open 5th congressional district following Julia Letlow’s decision to run for U.S. Senate.** Redistricting after the Supreme Court’s ruling in *Louisiana v. Callais* altered boundaries and drew additional contenders into the race, including state Sen. Stewart Cathey and state Rep. Gabe Firment. The November 3 jungle primary requires a candidate to secure more than 50 percent of the vote to win outright; otherwise, the top two advance to a December 12 runoff. With the Republican vote split across several hopefuls and Democratic candidates also on the ballot, recent qualifying activity and the open-seat dynamics point to a fragmented field. Traders therefore assign a high implied probability that no candidate will clear the majority threshold in the first round.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
9% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Sí
9% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.**Multiple Republican candidates are competing in Louisiana’s open 5th congressional district following Julia Letlow’s decision to run for U.S. Senate.** Redistricting after the Supreme Court’s ruling in *Louisiana v. Callais* altered boundaries and drew additional contenders into the race, including state Sen. Stewart Cathey and state Rep. Gabe Firment.
The November 3 jungle primary requires a candidate to secure more than 50 percent of the vote to win outright; otherwise, the top two advance to a December 12 runoff. With the Republican vote split across several hopefuls and Democratic candidates also on the ballot, recent qualifying activity and the open-seat dynamics point to a fragmented field. Traders therefore assign a high implied probability that no candidate will clear the majority threshold in the first round.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,332Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.**Multiple Republican candidates are competing in Louisiana’s open 5th congressional district following Julia Letlow’s decision to run for U.S. Senate.** Redistricting after the Supreme Court’s ruling in *Louisiana v. Callais* altered boundaries and drew additional contenders into the race, including state Sen. Stewart Cathey and state Rep. Gabe Firment.
The November 3 jungle primary requires a candidate to secure more than 50 percent of the vote to win outright; otherwise, the top two advance to a December 12 runoff. With the Republican vote split across several hopefuls and Democratic candidates also on the ballot, recent qualifying activity and the open-seat dynamics point to a fragmented field. Traders therefore assign a high implied probability that no candidate will clear the majority threshold in the first round.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-05 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-05 House election.
Volumen
$1,332Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Multiple Republican candidates are competing in Louisiana’s open 5th congressional district following Julia Letlow’s decision to run for U.S. Senate.** Redistricting after the Supreme Court’s ruling in *Louisiana v. Callais* altered boundaries and drew additional contenders into the race, including state Sen. Stewart Cathey and state Rep. Gabe Firment. The November 3 jungle primary requires a candidate to secure more than 50 percent of the vote to win outright; otherwise, the top two advance to a December 12 runoff. With the Republican vote split across several hopefuls and Democratic candidates also on the ballot, recent qualifying activity and the open-seat dynamics point to a fragmented field. Traders therefore assign a high implied probability that no candidate will clear the majority threshold in the first round.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes