Incumbent Rep. Kathy Castor (D) holds a trader consensus edge at 61% in Florida's 14th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat southeast into more Republican territory—now Trump +11 in 2024 results—prompting recent ratings to Lean Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of May 12. Castor's May 1 announcement to run in the redrawn district, bolstered by her 20-year tenure, $716,000 cash on hand, and past 57% wins, offsets the GOP-leaning map, while a crowded Republican primary featuring six candidates including Robert Rochford, recent entrant Bea Valenti, and potential self-funder Mike Beltran risks a fragmented field ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-14
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes FL-14
$19,674 Vol.
$19,674 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
60%
Partido Republicano
40%
$19,674 Vol.
$19,674 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$8,517 Vol.
60%
Partido Republicano
$11,157 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Kathy Castor (D) holds a trader consensus edge at 61% in Florida's 14th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat southeast into more Republican territory—now Trump +11 in 2024 results—prompting recent ratings to Lean Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of May 12. Castor's May 1 announcement to run in the redrawn district, bolstered by her 20-year tenure, $716,000 cash on hand, and past 57% wins, offsets the GOP-leaning map, while a crowded Republican primary featuring six candidates including Robert Rochford, recent entrant Bea Valenti, and potential self-funder Mike Beltran risks a fragmented field ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volumen
$19,674Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Kathy Castor (D) holds a trader consensus edge at 61% in Florida's 14th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat southeast into more Republican territory—now Trump +11 in 2024 results—prompting recent ratings to Lean Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of May 12. Castor's May 1 announcement to run in the redrawn district, bolstered by her 20-year tenure, $716,000 cash on hand, and past 57% wins, offsets the GOP-leaning map, while a crowded Republican primary featuring six candidates including Robert Rochford, recent entrant Bea Valenti, and potential self-funder Mike Beltran risks a fragmented field ahead of the August 18 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,674Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Kathy Castor (D) holds a trader consensus edge at 61% in Florida's 14th Congressional District following mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat southeast into more Republican territory—now Trump +11 in 2024 results—prompting recent ratings to Lean Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as of May 12. Castor's May 1 announcement to run in the redrawn district, bolstered by her 20-year tenure, $716,000 cash on hand, and past 57% wins, offsets the GOP-leaning map, while a crowded Republican primary featuring six candidates including Robert Rochford, recent entrant Bea Valenti, and potential self-funder Mike Beltran risks a fragmented field ahead of the August 18 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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