The 2025-2026 influenza season produced a cumulative FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate of 87.5 per 100,000 by Week 22 (ending June 6), with weekly rates already down to 0.1 amid minimal summer transmission. Trader consensus at 85–90 (94.4% implied probability) reflects CDC surveillance showing the season’s total stabilizing near this level as activity remains low. Historical patterns of negligible June hospitalizations and stable reporting further anchor expectations. A late unexpected surge raising weekly admissions enough to push the cumulative total above 90, or major data revisions from delayed reports, represent the main realistic paths to alternative outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
85–90 93.7%
90–95 3.8%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 jun 2026
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
94%
90–95
4%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 93.7%
90–95 3.8%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 jun 2026
<80
$402 Vol.
1%
80–85
$397 Vol.
<1%
85–90
$3,036 Vol.
94%
90–95
$143 Vol.
4%
95–100
$245 Vol.
1%
100+
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The 2025-2026 influenza season produced a cumulative FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate of 87.5 per 100,000 by Week 22 (ending June 6), with weekly rates already down to 0.1 amid minimal summer transmission. Trader consensus at 85–90 (94.4% implied probability) reflects CDC surveillance showing the season’s total stabilizing near this level as activity remains low. Historical patterns of negligible June hospitalizations and stable reporting further anchor expectations. A late unexpected surge raising weekly admissions enough to push the cumulative total above 90, or major data revisions from delayed reports, represent the main realistic paths to alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volumen
$4,679Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.The 2025-2026 influenza season produced a cumulative FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate of 87.5 per 100,000 by Week 22 (ending June 6), with weekly rates already down to 0.1 amid minimal summer transmission. Trader consensus at 85–90 (94.4% implied probability) reflects CDC surveillance showing the season’s total stabilizing near this level as activity remains low. Historical patterns of negligible June hospitalizations and stable reporting further anchor expectations. A late unexpected surge raising weekly admissions enough to push the cumulative total above 90, or major data revisions from delayed reports, represent the main realistic paths to alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volumen
$4,679Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2025-2026 influenza season produced a cumulative FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate of 87.5 per 100,000 by Week 22 (ending June 6), with weekly rates already down to 0.1 amid minimal summer transmission. Trader consensus at 85–90 (94.4% implied probability) reflects CDC surveillance showing the season’s total stabilizing near this level as activity remains low. Historical patterns of negligible June hospitalizations and stable reporting further anchor expectations. A late unexpected surge raising weekly admissions enough to push the cumulative total above 90, or major data revisions from delayed reports, represent the main realistic paths to alternative outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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