Israel's established practice of intercepting Gaza-bound aid vessels in international waters, as demonstrated by the April 2026 seizure of multiple boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete, continues to shape trader assessments. The fleet's recent relaunch in mid-May from Turkish and Greek ports, involving dozens of vessels carrying activists and symbolic supplies, has not altered this pattern, with organizers confirming ongoing navigation toward the region amid active naval monitoring. Historical enforcement of the maritime blockade, combined with the physical distance and short timeline remaining until May 31, supports the current implied probability that the flotilla will not reach Israeli territorial waters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La flotilla de Gaza entrará en aguas israelíes antes del 31 de mayo?
¿La flotilla de Gaza entrará en aguas israelíes antes del 31 de mayo?
Sí
$149,838 Vol.
$149,838 Vol.
31 may 2026
Sí
$149,838 Vol.
$149,838 Vol.
31 may 2026
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israel's established practice of intercepting Gaza-bound aid vessels in international waters, as demonstrated by the April 2026 seizure of multiple boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete, continues to shape trader assessments. The fleet's recent relaunch in mid-May from Turkish and Greek ports, involving dozens of vessels carrying activists and symbolic supplies, has not altered this pattern, with organizers confirming ongoing navigation toward the region amid active naval monitoring. Historical enforcement of the maritime blockade, combined with the physical distance and short timeline remaining until May 31, supports the current implied probability that the flotilla will not reach Israeli territorial waters.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Volumen
$149,838Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israel's established practice of intercepting Gaza-bound aid vessels in international waters, as demonstrated by the April 2026 seizure of multiple boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete, continues to shape trader assessments. The fleet's recent relaunch in mid-May from Turkish and Greek ports, involving dozens of vessels carrying activists and symbolic supplies, has not altered this pattern, with organizers confirming ongoing navigation toward the region amid active naval monitoring. Historical enforcement of the maritime blockade, combined with the physical distance and short timeline remaining until May 31, supports the current implied probability that the flotilla will not reach Israeli territorial waters.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$149,838Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's established practice of intercepting Gaza-bound aid vessels in international waters, as demonstrated by the April 2026 seizure of multiple boats from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete, continues to shape trader assessments. The fleet's recent relaunch in mid-May from Turkish and Greek ports, involving dozens of vessels carrying activists and symbolic supplies, has not altered this pattern, with organizers confirming ongoing navigation toward the region amid active naval monitoring. Historical enforcement of the maritime blockade, combined with the physical distance and short timeline remaining until May 31, supports the current implied probability that the flotilla will not reach Israeli territorial waters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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