Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth expectations center on the 1.0-1.2% range amid upward revisions to full-year forecasts. Stronger-than-expected first-half results, with Q2 posting 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-on-year growth driven by exports, prompted institutes including IMK, Kiel, and Ifo to lift 2026 projections to 1.3%. Government defense and infrastructure outlays are providing fiscal support, though elevated energy prices and subdued private consumption remain headwinds. Low Rhine water levels are seen trimming Q3 momentum to around 0.1% quarter-on-quarter. The Q3 flash estimate due October 30 will clarify whether the expansion sustains near current market-implied levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado1.0-1.2% 53%
0.7-0.9% 20%
1.3%+ 19%
0.1-0.3% 6.3%
$34,251 Vol.
$34,251 Vol.
30 oct 2026
≤0.0%
5%
0.1-0.3%
6%
0.4-0.6%
5%
0.7-0.9%
20%
1.0-1.2%
53%
1.3%+
19%
1.0-1.2% 53%
0.7-0.9% 20%
1.3%+ 19%
0.1-0.3% 6.3%
$34,251 Vol.
$34,251 Vol.
30 oct 2026
≤0.0%
$1,361 Vol.
5%
0.1-0.3%
$1,644 Vol.
6%
0.4-0.6%
$700 Vol.
5%
0.7-0.9%
$5,794 Vol.
20%
1.0-1.2%
$20,450 Vol.
53%
1.3%+
$4,302 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth expectations center on the 1.0-1.2% range amid upward revisions to full-year forecasts. Stronger-than-expected first-half results, with Q2 posting 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-on-year growth driven by exports, prompted institutes including IMK, Kiel, and Ifo to lift 2026 projections to 1.3%. Government defense and infrastructure outlays are providing fiscal support, though elevated energy prices and subdued private consumption remain headwinds. Low Rhine water levels are seen trimming Q3 momentum to around 0.1% quarter-on-quarter. The Q3 flash estimate due October 30 will clarify whether the expansion sustains near current market-implied levels.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$34,251Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth expectations center on the 1.0-1.2% range amid upward revisions to full-year forecasts. Stronger-than-expected first-half results, with Q2 posting 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-on-year growth driven by exports, prompted institutes including IMK, Kiel, and Ifo to lift 2026 projections to 1.3%. Government defense and infrastructure outlays are providing fiscal support, though elevated energy prices and subdued private consumption remain headwinds. Low Rhine water levels are seen trimming Q3 momentum to around 0.1% quarter-on-quarter. The Q3 flash estimate due October 30 will clarify whether the expansion sustains near current market-implied levels.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34,251Fecha de finalización
30 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth expectations center on the 1.0-1.2% range amid upward revisions to full-year forecasts. Stronger-than-expected first-half results, with Q2 posting 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.0% year-on-year growth driven by exports, prompted institutes including IMK, Kiel, and Ifo to lift 2026 projections to 1.3%. Government defense and infrastructure outlays are providing fiscal support, though elevated energy prices and subdued private consumption remain headwinds. Low Rhine water levels are seen trimming Q3 momentum to around 0.1% quarter-on-quarter. The Q3 flash estimate due October 30 will clarify whether the expansion sustains near current market-implied levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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