Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 21 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 21 de julio?
21°C 38%
20°C 33%
22°C 17%
19°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 jul 2026
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
33%
21°C
38%
22°C
17%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C o más
<1%
21°C 38%
20°C 33%
22°C 17%
19°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 jul 2026
16°C o menos
$38 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$124 Vol.
1%
18°C
$143 Vol.
1%
19°C
$305 Vol.
11%
20°C
$136 Vol.
33%
21°C
$181 Vol.
38%
22°C
$146 Vol.
17%
23°C
$59 Vol.
5%
24°C
$43 Vol.
2%
25°C
$42 Vol.
1%
26°C o más
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,256Fecha de finalización
21 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,256Fecha de finalización
21 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Amsterdam's July 21 high temperature will likely peak near 20–21°C, with traders assigning nearly equal weight to these outcomes due to narrow uncertainty ranges in boundary-layer mixing and advection patterns. Subtle differences hinge on North Sea sea-surface temperatures, which modulate local humidity and cloud formation, alongside the strength of any high-pressure ridge versus incoming Atlantic troughs that could cap daytime heating by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 21°C provide baseline context, while short-range model runs show minimal spread this close to the event, limiting further shifts absent unexpected frontal timing changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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