Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 27 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 27 de junio?
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C o menos 22.4%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
$43,478 Vol.
NUEVO
$43,478 Vol.
27 jun 2026
30°C o menos
22%
31°C
27%
32°C
29%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C o más
<1%
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C o menos 22.4%
33°C 14%
NUEVO
$43,478 Vol.
NUEVO
$43,478 Vol.
27 jun 2026
30°C o menos
$3,471 Vol.
22%
31°C
$4,930 Vol.
27%
32°C
$5,397 Vol.
29%
33°C
$4,494 Vol.
14%
34°C
$4,464 Vol.
9%
35°C
$6,025 Vol.
2%
36°C
$4,049 Vol.
1%
37°C
$3,216 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,343 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$2,382 Vol.
<1%
40°C o más
$2,707 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$43,478Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$43,478Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes