**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on July 1?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 1?
94-95°F 38%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 jul 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
12%
94-95°F
38%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 38%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 12%
98-99°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 jul 2026
87°F or below
$207 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$108 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$18 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$3 Vol.
12%
94-95°F
$58 Vol.
38%
96-97°F
$28 Vol.
34%
98-99°F
$18 Vol.
9%
100-101°F
$47 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$101 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$41 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$1,643Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,643Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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