Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on June 21?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 21?
92-93°F 30%
90-91°F 23%
94-95°F 21%
88-89°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 jun 2026
83°F o menos
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 30%
90-91°F 23%
94-95°F 21%
88-89°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 jun 2026
83°F o menos
$9 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$29 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$110 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$285 Vol.
9%
90-91°F
$197 Vol.
23%
92-93°F
$922 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$348 Vol.
21%
96-97°F
$187 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$105 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$147 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$2,306Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,306Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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