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icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 27 de junio?

¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 27 de junio?

icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 27 de junio?

¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 27 de junio?

94-95°F 38%

96-97°F 28%

92-93°F 25%

98-99°F 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$15,718 Vol.

94-95°F 38%

96-97°F 28%

92-93°F 25%

98-99°F 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$15,718 Vol.

91°F o menos

$3,051 Vol.

3%

92-93°F

$3,867 Vol.

25%

94-95°F

$1,344 Vol.

38%

96-97°F

$1,337 Vol.

28%

98-99°F

$1,833 Vol.

11%

100-101°F

$636 Vol.

1%

102-103°F

$843 Vol.

1%

104-105°F

$2,143 Vol.

<1%

106-107°F

$225 Vol.

<1%

108-109°F

$241 Vol.

<1%

110°F o más

$215 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,718
Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,718
Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 27 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "94-95°F" con 38%, seguido de "96-97°F" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 27 de junio?" ha generado $15.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 27 de junio?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 27 de junio?" es "94-95°F" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "96-97°F" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 27 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.