Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers on August 16, moderating Beijing's peak temperature near 28–29°C. Subtropical high positioning combined with residual East Asian monsoon moisture limits surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, compressing the likely range between 27°C and 30°C. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current model runs show reduced insolation compared with clearer late-summer patterns. Traders have priced 28°C highest at 30.5% implied probability, reflecting tight agreement on these atmospheric controls ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de agosto?
28°C 32%
27°C 22.7%
29°C 22%
26°C 13.6%
NUEVO
$50,434 Vol.
NUEVO
$50,434 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
14%
27°C
23%
28°C
32%
29°C
22%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 32%
27°C 22.7%
29°C 22%
26°C 13.6%
NUEVO
$50,434 Vol.
NUEVO
$50,434 Vol.
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
$2,758 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,946 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5,561 Vol.
4%
26°C
$4,322 Vol.
14%
27°C
$3,517 Vol.
23%
28°C
$3,240 Vol.
32%
29°C
$3,628 Vol.
22%
30°C
$5,251 Vol.
8%
31°C
$7,268 Vol.
2%
32°C
$5,328 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$6,615 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers on August 16, moderating Beijing's peak temperature near 28–29°C. Subtropical high positioning combined with residual East Asian monsoon moisture limits surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, compressing the likely range between 27°C and 30°C. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current model runs show reduced insolation compared with clearer late-summer patterns. Traders have priced 28°C highest at 30.5% implied probability, reflecting tight agreement on these atmospheric controls ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$50,434Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers on August 16, moderating Beijing's peak temperature near 28–29°C. Subtropical high positioning combined with residual East Asian monsoon moisture limits surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, compressing the likely range between 27°C and 30°C. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current model runs show reduced insolation compared with clearer late-summer patterns. Traders have priced 28°C highest at 30.5% implied probability, reflecting tight agreement on these atmospheric controls ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$50,434Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers on August 16, moderating Beijing's peak temperature near 28–29°C. Subtropical high positioning combined with residual East Asian monsoon moisture limits surface heating and boundary-layer mixing, compressing the likely range between 27°C and 30°C. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet current model runs show reduced insolation compared with clearer late-summer patterns. Traders have priced 28°C highest at 30.5% implied probability, reflecting tight agreement on these atmospheric controls ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes