Beijing's mid-August temperature outlook centers on typical late-summer monsoon influences, with official guidance and ensemble models indicating a most likely daily maximum near 30–31°C for August 16 amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. These conditions introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, as afternoon convection or lingering moisture can suppress highs by 1–2°C compared to clearer scenarios. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide context, while recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread. Traders weigh resolution thresholds against potential shifts in steering patterns or localized rainfall timing ahead of final forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de agosto?
30°C 32%
31°C 28%
29°C 23%
32°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
23%
30°C
32%
31°C
28%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
6%
30°C 32%
31°C 28%
29°C 23%
32°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
$387 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$699 Vol.
1%
27°C
$59 Vol.
3%
28°C
$29 Vol.
10%
29°C
$27 Vol.
23%
30°C
$67 Vol.
32%
31°C
$79 Vol.
28%
32°C
$35 Vol.
13%
33°C or higher
$185 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's mid-August temperature outlook centers on typical late-summer monsoon influences, with official guidance and ensemble models indicating a most likely daily maximum near 30–31°C for August 16 amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. These conditions introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, as afternoon convection or lingering moisture can suppress highs by 1–2°C compared to clearer scenarios. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide context, while recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread. Traders weigh resolution thresholds against potential shifts in steering patterns or localized rainfall timing ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,838Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's mid-August temperature outlook centers on typical late-summer monsoon influences, with official guidance and ensemble models indicating a most likely daily maximum near 30–31°C for August 16 amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. These conditions introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, as afternoon convection or lingering moisture can suppress highs by 1–2°C compared to clearer scenarios. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide context, while recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread. Traders weigh resolution thresholds against potential shifts in steering patterns or localized rainfall timing ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,838Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Beijing's mid-August temperature outlook centers on typical late-summer monsoon influences, with official guidance and ensemble models indicating a most likely daily maximum near 30–31°C for August 16 amid scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover. These conditions introduce modest uncertainty in peak readings, as afternoon convection or lingering moisture can suppress highs by 1–2°C compared to clearer scenarios. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide context, while recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with limited spread. Traders weigh resolution thresholds against potential shifts in steering patterns or localized rainfall timing ahead of final forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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