Recent test flights have advanced Super Heavy booster recovery through repeated Mechazilla tower catches, yet Starship upper-stage reflight remains unproven despite successful Raptor relights and heat-shield performance in Flight 13. Elon Musk has targeted the first ship reflight by late 2026 or early 2027, while Flight 14 in September aims for orbital insertion, Starlink V3 deployment, and potential dual-stage recovery attempts. Persistent challenges include rapid refurbishment timelines, regulatory approvals, and scaling to the multiple refueling flights needed for full operational reuse. These mixed milestones sustain the near-even market odds, with upcoming cadence increases or ship catch demonstrations likely to shift trader consensus.