**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s June 21 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C (combined ~56 % implied probability) because short-range models and climatological normals both point to a typical late-June peak near 30 °C (86 °F).** With the summer solstice only two days away, strong insolation over the North China Plain favors rapid daytime heating, yet morning cloud cover and modest northerly flow on the 21st are expected to limit extreme warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping 28 °C and 31 °C within reach depending on exact timing of any scattered showers or clearer breaks. Historical June maxima average 30–31 °C, so the market’s tight distribution around the mean reflects both forecast consensus and the narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 21?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 21?
30°C 34%
29°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
$11,059 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,059 Vol.
21 jun 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
33%
30°C
34%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 33%
28°C 16%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
$11,059 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,059 Vol.
21 jun 2026
24°C or below
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$150 Vol.
1%
26°C
$707 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,161 Vol.
4%
28°C
$653 Vol.
16%
29°C
$885 Vol.
33%
30°C
$662 Vol.
34%
31°C
$2,439 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,560 Vol.
2%
33°C
$765 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$949 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s June 21 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C (combined ~56 % implied probability) because short-range models and climatological normals both point to a typical late-June peak near 30 °C (86 °F).** With the summer solstice only two days away, strong insolation over the North China Plain favors rapid daytime heating, yet morning cloud cover and modest northerly flow on the 21st are expected to limit extreme warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping 28 °C and 31 °C within reach depending on exact timing of any scattered showers or clearer breaks. Historical June maxima average 30–31 °C, so the market’s tight distribution around the mean reflects both forecast consensus and the narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$11,059Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s June 21 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C (combined ~56 % implied probability) because short-range models and climatological normals both point to a typical late-June peak near 30 °C (86 °F).** With the summer solstice only two days away, strong insolation over the North China Plain favors rapid daytime heating, yet morning cloud cover and modest northerly flow on the 21st are expected to limit extreme warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping 28 °C and 31 °C within reach depending on exact timing of any scattered showers or clearer breaks. Historical June maxima average 30–31 °C, so the market’s tight distribution around the mean reflects both forecast consensus and the narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,059Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Beijing’s June 21 maximum temperature clusters tightly around 29–30 °C (combined ~56 % implied probability) because short-range models and climatological normals both point to a typical late-June peak near 30 °C (86 °F).** With the summer solstice only two days away, strong insolation over the North China Plain favors rapid daytime heating, yet morning cloud cover and modest northerly flow on the 21st are expected to limit extreme warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping 28 °C and 31 °C within reach depending on exact timing of any scattered showers or clearer breaks. Historical June maxima average 30–31 °C, so the market’s tight distribution around the mean reflects both forecast consensus and the narrow range of plausible outcomes two days out.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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