Recent forecast models from agencies including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a daily maximum near 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 9, establishing the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Wintertime high pressure and southwesterly flow are expected to limit daytime warming while keeping skies mostly clear, consistent with climatological August averages of 15–17°C yet tempered by cooler recent model runs showing highs of 12–13°C. Traders weigh the narrow window between typical seasonal variability and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could push the peak slightly higher. The final official maximum recorded at the designated station will resolve the market once observations close.