Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a high of 23°C for Chengdu on October 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. Multiple local outlooks list daytime maxima of 23°C under mostly overcast skies with scattered showers, consistent with the seasonal transition to cooler autumn conditions. International models show minor spread, with some indicating 22°C and others near 24–25°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Traders appear to weigh these variables closely, as even modest clearing could push the peak slightly higher while sustained rain would cap it lower. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.