Latest forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high around 24–26°C on September 23 amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF highlights elevated humidity and precipitation chances near 60%, which suppress temperature peaks compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 25–28°C, with traders weighing small differences in cloud timing and rainfall intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 23 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 23 de septiembre?
27°C 26%
26°C 24%
28°C 21%
25°C 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
14%
25°C
21%
26°C
24%
27°C
26%
28°C
21%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 26%
26°C 24%
28°C 21%
25°C 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$116 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
7%
23°C
$5 Vol.
10%
24°C
$5 Vol.
14%
25°C
$15 Vol.
21%
26°C
$5 Vol.
24%
27°C
$43 Vol.
26%
28°C
$5 Vol.
21%
29°C
$25 Vol.
8%
30°C
$210 Vol.
2%
31°C o más
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high around 24–26°C on September 23 amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF highlights elevated humidity and precipitation chances near 60%, which suppress temperature peaks compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 25–28°C, with traders weighing small differences in cloud timing and rainfall intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$562Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high around 24–26°C on September 23 amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF highlights elevated humidity and precipitation chances near 60%, which suppress temperature peaks compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 25–28°C, with traders weighing small differences in cloud timing and rainfall intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$562Fecha de finalización
23 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high around 24–26°C on September 23 amid cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light easterly winds that limit daytime heating. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF highlights elevated humidity and precipitation chances near 60%, which suppress temperature peaks compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 25–28°C, with traders weighing small differences in cloud timing and rainfall intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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