Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China's meteorological services and international sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug, converge on a maximum of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 2 under predominantly sunny conditions and light easterly winds. This tight clustering drives the near-even split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C (38%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on outliers reflecting model spread and typical observational uncertainty in the Sichuan basin. Clear skies and a stable subtropical ridge favor strong daytime solar heating, while modest humidity and minimal precipitation risk limit further intensification beyond historical early-September averages near 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 2 de septiembre?
34°C 41%
35°C 39%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
41%
35°C
39%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 41%
35°C 39%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
28°C or below
$550 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$129 Vol.
2%
31°C
$73 Vol.
2%
32°C
$94 Vol.
3%
33°C
$122 Vol.
9%
34°C
$114 Vol.
41%
35°C
$300 Vol.
39%
36°C
$145 Vol.
10%
37°C
$104 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$260 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China's meteorological services and international sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug, converge on a maximum of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 2 under predominantly sunny conditions and light easterly winds. This tight clustering drives the near-even split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C (38%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on outliers reflecting model spread and typical observational uncertainty in the Sichuan basin. Clear skies and a stable subtropical ridge favor strong daytime solar heating, while modest humidity and minimal precipitation risk limit further intensification beyond historical early-September averages near 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$2,146Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China's meteorological services and international sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug, converge on a maximum of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 2 under predominantly sunny conditions and light easterly winds. This tight clustering drives the near-even split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C (38%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on outliers reflecting model spread and typical observational uncertainty in the Sichuan basin. Clear skies and a stable subtropical ridge favor strong daytime solar heating, while modest humidity and minimal precipitation risk limit further intensification beyond historical early-September averages near 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,146Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China's meteorological services and international sources like Yr.no and WeatherBug, converge on a maximum of 33–35°C for Chongqing on September 2 under predominantly sunny conditions and light easterly winds. This tight clustering drives the near-even split between 34°C (40.5%) and 35°C (38%) implied probabilities, with lower odds on outliers reflecting model spread and typical observational uncertainty in the Sichuan basin. Clear skies and a stable subtropical ridge favor strong daytime solar heating, while modest humidity and minimal precipitation risk limit further intensification beyond historical early-September averages near 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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