Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models point to a peak daytime temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 6, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect in this subtropical monsoon climate could push observed maxima toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs near 33–35°C. Close market-implied odds between 36°C and 37°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and localized convective development, with new model runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 6 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 6 de agosto?
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
NUEVO
$22,022 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,022 Vol.
6 ago 2026
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
13%
36°C
37%
37°C
43%
38°C
9%
39°C o más
1%
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
NUEVO
$22,022 Vol.
NUEVO
$22,022 Vol.
6 ago 2026
29°C o menos
$395 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,035 Vol.
1%
33°C
$306 Vol.
2%
34°C
$628 Vol.
3%
35°C
$1,055 Vol.
13%
36°C
$10,200 Vol.
37%
37°C
$3,946 Vol.
43%
38°C
$2,148 Vol.
9%
39°C o más
$1,592 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models point to a peak daytime temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 6, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect in this subtropical monsoon climate could push observed maxima toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs near 33–35°C. Close market-implied odds between 36°C and 37°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and localized convective development, with new model runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$22,022Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models point to a peak daytime temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 6, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect in this subtropical monsoon climate could push observed maxima toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs near 33–35°C. Close market-implied odds between 36°C and 37°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and localized convective development, with new model runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22,022Fecha de finalización
6 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models point to a peak daytime temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 6, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect in this subtropical monsoon climate could push observed maxima toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs near 33–35°C. Close market-implied odds between 36°C and 37°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and localized convective development, with new model runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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