Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on June 26, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Regional pressure patterns, including potential high-pressure influence from the Balkans and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, will largely determine whether temperatures peak near the 28°C consensus or edge higher under clearer skies and stronger insolation. Historical June averages of 25–28°C provide context, while short-range model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap the high. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 26 de junio?
28°C 100.0%
$82,061 Vol.
$82,061 Vol.
28°C
100%
28°C 100.0%
$82,061 Vol.
$82,061 Vol.
28°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 24, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on June 26, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Regional pressure patterns, including potential high-pressure influence from the Balkans and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, will largely determine whether temperatures peak near the 28°C consensus or edge higher under clearer skies and stronger insolation. Historical June averages of 25–28°C provide context, while short-range model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap the high. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes