**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions 28–29°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for London on August 4, 2026, reflecting a post-heatwave moderation under building high pressure and southerly flow.** Climatological normals for early August hover near 22°C, but current setups feature warmer-than-average air masses with reduced cloud cover and light winds that favor daytime radiative heating and limited mixing. Short-range updates from the past 48 hours show slight downward revisions from earlier 30–31°C signals, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%) and 28°C (30.0%). Key uncertainties include exact timing of any Atlantic front or convective cloud, which could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C depending on the model run. Traders are closely watching the next ECMWF and UKV updates for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 4 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 4 de agosto?
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
30%
29°C
41%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
25°C or below
$86 Vol.
1%
26°C
$66 Vol.
4%
27°C
$110 Vol.
19%
28°C
$104 Vol.
30%
29°C
$564 Vol.
41%
30°C
$25 Vol.
8%
31°C
$25 Vol.
2%
32°C
$32 Vol.
1%
33°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions 28–29°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for London on August 4, 2026, reflecting a post-heatwave moderation under building high pressure and southerly flow.**
Climatological normals for early August hover near 22°C, but current setups feature warmer-than-average air masses with reduced cloud cover and light winds that favor daytime radiative heating and limited mixing. Short-range updates from the past 48 hours show slight downward revisions from earlier 30–31°C signals, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%) and 28°C (30.0%). Key uncertainties include exact timing of any Atlantic front or convective cloud, which could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C depending on the model run. Traders are closely watching the next ECMWF and UKV updates for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,141Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions 28–29°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for London on August 4, 2026, reflecting a post-heatwave moderation under building high pressure and southerly flow.**
Climatological normals for early August hover near 22°C, but current setups feature warmer-than-average air masses with reduced cloud cover and light winds that favor daytime radiative heating and limited mixing. Short-range updates from the past 48 hours show slight downward revisions from earlier 30–31°C signals, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%) and 28°C (30.0%). Key uncertainties include exact timing of any Atlantic front or convective cloud, which could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C depending on the model run. Traders are closely watching the next ECMWF and UKV updates for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,141Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance positions 28–29°C as the most probable maximum temperature range for London on August 4, 2026, reflecting a post-heatwave moderation under building high pressure and southerly flow.** Climatological normals for early August hover near 22°C, but current setups feature warmer-than-average air masses with reduced cloud cover and light winds that favor daytime radiative heating and limited mixing. Short-range updates from the past 48 hours show slight downward revisions from earlier 30–31°C signals, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (40.5%) and 28°C (30.0%). Key uncertainties include exact timing of any Atlantic front or convective cloud, which could cap or boost the peak by 1–2°C depending on the model run. Traders are closely watching the next ECMWF and UKV updates for resolution signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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