**Marine layer moderation and stable onshore flow position the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the station used for resolution, in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 3.** National Weather Service forecasts show a high near 78°F under patchy morning fog, gradual afternoon clearing, and light west-southwest winds, consistent with typical early-August coastal patterns where the marine layer caps daytime warming. Recent model runs and observations confirm no strong offshore flow or interior heat surge is expected to override this, keeping values below the seasonal 85°F average high. The 76–79°F outcomes together command nearly 80% implied probability because they align with current guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Minor upside risk to 80–81°F exists if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while downside remains limited absent an unusual strengthening of the marine layer. Traders are weighting the latest official NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus, which have shown consistency in the days leading into the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 3 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 3 de agosto?
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 33%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 33%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 ago 2026
71°F o menos
$68 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$404 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$37 Vol.
9%
76-77°F
$96 Vol.
33%
78-79°F
$480 Vol.
47%
80-81°F
$131 Vol.
13%
82-83°F
$280 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$34 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$165 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$132 Vol.
1%
90°F o más
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer moderation and stable onshore flow position the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the station used for resolution, in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 3.** National Weather Service forecasts show a high near 78°F under patchy morning fog, gradual afternoon clearing, and light west-southwest winds, consistent with typical early-August coastal patterns where the marine layer caps daytime warming.
Recent model runs and observations confirm no strong offshore flow or interior heat surge is expected to override this, keeping values below the seasonal 85°F average high. The 76–79°F outcomes together command nearly 80% implied probability because they align with current guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Minor upside risk to 80–81°F exists if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while downside remains limited absent an unusual strengthening of the marine layer.
Traders are weighting the latest official NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus, which have shown consistency in the days leading into the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$1,963Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer moderation and stable onshore flow position the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the station used for resolution, in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 3.** National Weather Service forecasts show a high near 78°F under patchy morning fog, gradual afternoon clearing, and light west-southwest winds, consistent with typical early-August coastal patterns where the marine layer caps daytime warming.
Recent model runs and observations confirm no strong offshore flow or interior heat surge is expected to override this, keeping values below the seasonal 85°F average high. The 76–79°F outcomes together command nearly 80% implied probability because they align with current guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Minor upside risk to 80–81°F exists if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while downside remains limited absent an unusual strengthening of the marine layer.
Traders are weighting the latest official NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus, which have shown consistency in the days leading into the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,963Fecha de finalización
3 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer moderation and stable onshore flow position the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the station used for resolution, in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 3.** National Weather Service forecasts show a high near 78°F under patchy morning fog, gradual afternoon clearing, and light west-southwest winds, consistent with typical early-August coastal patterns where the marine layer caps daytime warming. Recent model runs and observations confirm no strong offshore flow or interior heat surge is expected to override this, keeping values below the seasonal 85°F average high. The 76–79°F outcomes together command nearly 80% implied probability because they align with current guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Minor upside risk to 80–81°F exists if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while downside remains limited absent an unusual strengthening of the marine layer. Traders are weighting the latest official NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus, which have shown consistency in the days leading into the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes