**Forecast models from sources like Globalmeteo, Yr.no, and WeatherBug indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near 31–32°C.** This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes (32°C at 57.5%, 31°C at 27.5%). The region sits under stable high pressure with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, allowing efficient solar warming above the historical average high of 27.3°C. Recent days have shown a warming trend, with highs climbing from the mid-20s°C earlier in the week toward the low-30s. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind direction could nudge the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers for any shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 12 de septiembre?
32°C 60%
31°C 30%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
27°C o menos
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
30%
32°C
60%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C o más
<1%
32°C 60%
31°C 30%
33°C 10%
30°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
27°C o menos
$15 Vol.
1%
28°C
$39 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$27 Vol.
4%
31°C
$114 Vol.
30%
32°C
$539 Vol.
60%
33°C
$91 Vol.
10%
34°C
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$15 Vol.
1%
37°C o más
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Globalmeteo, Yr.no, and WeatherBug indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near 31–32°C.** This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes (32°C at 57.5%, 31°C at 27.5%). The region sits under stable high pressure with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, allowing efficient solar warming above the historical average high of 27.3°C. Recent days have shown a warming trend, with highs climbing from the mid-20s°C earlier in the week toward the low-30s. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind direction could nudge the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$885Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Globalmeteo, Yr.no, and WeatherBug indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near 31–32°C.** This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes (32°C at 57.5%, 31°C at 27.5%). The region sits under stable high pressure with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, allowing efficient solar warming above the historical average high of 27.3°C. Recent days have shown a warming trend, with highs climbing from the mid-20s°C earlier in the week toward the low-30s. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind direction could nudge the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$885Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like Globalmeteo, Yr.no, and WeatherBug indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting a daily maximum near 31–32°C.** This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes (32°C at 57.5%, 31°C at 27.5%). The region sits under stable high pressure with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, allowing efficient solar warming above the historical average high of 27.3°C. Recent days have shown a warming trend, with highs climbing from the mid-20s°C earlier in the week toward the low-30s. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind direction could nudge the peak by 1°C. Updated short-range forecasts and official AEMET guidance ahead of the date will be the key drivers for any shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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