Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 27 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 27 de junio?
32°C 43%
33°C 40%
31°C 10%
34°C 8.2%
NUEVO
$16,160 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,160 Vol.
27 jun 2026
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
43%
33°C
40%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36°C o más
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 40%
31°C 10%
34°C 8.2%
NUEVO
$16,160 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,160 Vol.
27 jun 2026
26°C o menos
$3,549 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$739 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$924 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,744 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,130 Vol.
10%
32°C
$1,285 Vol.
43%
33°C
$1,914 Vol.
40%
34°C
$2,649 Vol.
8%
35°C
$643 Vol.
1%
36°C o más
$561 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$16,160Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,160Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes