**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 30?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 30?
27°C 38%
26°C 37%
25°C 16%
24°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
16%
26°C
37%
27°C
38%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 38%
26°C 37%
25°C 16%
24°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
20°C or below
$319 Vol.
1%
21°C
$115 Vol.
1%
22°C
$184 Vol.
2%
23°C
$54 Vol.
1%
24°C
$76 Vol.
5%
25°C
$514 Vol.
16%
26°C
$111 Vol.
37%
27°C
$266 Vol.
38%
28°C
$55 Vol.
5%
29°C
$54 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$180 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ET
Volumen
$1,928Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,928Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 28, 2026, 11:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 30 maximum temperature centers on ensemble forecast spread around the seasonal winter baseline of 21–23 °C.** With 26 °C and 27 °C holding nearly identical implied probabilities (37 % and 33 %), markets reflect tight model disagreement on daytime heating. Key drivers include the strength and timing of any Atlantic high-pressure ridge versus transient cold-air intrusions from the south, which control boundary-layer mixing and maximum temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable low-level moisture further modulate the diurnal range, while recent June observations show a slight cool anomaly that keeps higher outliers (28 °C+) at low odds. Updated model runs tonight and early June 30 observations will likely narrow the 25–27 °C window ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes