Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations recorded a daily maximum of exactly 25°C on October 12, anchoring the market at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity—common during the transition into the wet season—limited daytime heating below the October average of roughly 31–32°C. Steering patterns and regional moisture influx further suppressed peak temperatures, aligning with National Meteorological Service data and model consensus. While data revisions or station-specific discrepancies remain theoretically possible, the convergence of multiple verified reports makes any shift in the final figure highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoView resolved

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