Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a cool, rainy day in São Paulo driven by a strong cold front and southeasterly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 16–17°C amid persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This represents a notable departure below the typical September high near 23°C, reflecting the influence of polar air advection suppressing daytime warming. Model consensus supports limited diurnal rise, with hourly peaks clustered in the mid-teens, though minor variations in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh this stable cool pattern heavily, concentrating implied probabilities on 16–18°C outcomes while discounting warmer or much colder extremes. Updated model runs and official observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the next key signals for any adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 13 de septiembre?
17°C 36%
16°C 23%
18°C 21%
15°C 10%
12°C o menos
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
10%
16°C
23%
17°C
36%
18°C
21%
19°C
8%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C o más
1%
17°C 36%
16°C 23%
18°C 21%
15°C 10%
12°C o menos
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
10%
16°C
23%
17°C
36%
18°C
21%
19°C
8%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a cool, rainy day in São Paulo driven by a strong cold front and southeasterly flow, with maximum temperatures most likely reaching 16–17°C amid persistent cloud cover and precipitation. This represents a notable departure below the typical September high near 23°C, reflecting the influence of polar air advection suppressing daytime warming. Model consensus supports limited diurnal rise, with hourly peaks clustered in the mid-teens, though minor variations in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh this stable cool pattern heavily, concentrating implied probabilities on 16–18°C outcomes while discounting warmer or much colder extremes. Updated model runs and official observations ahead of the 24-hour window will provide the next key signals for any adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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