Recent KMA and global ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul's July 16 maximum will hinge on the timing and extent of monsoon moisture and cloud cover, with consensus highs clustered near 29–30 °C. Diurnal heating under a strengthening subtropical ridge supports upper-20s readings, yet scattered showers or thicker stratiform clouds could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower by limiting insolation. Model spread arises mainly from the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer humidity, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C while discounting extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated model runs and KMA short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 16 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 16 de julio?
29°C 36%
30°C 28%
28°C 24%
31°C or higher 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jul 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
24%
29°C
36%
30°C
28%
31°C or higher
14%
29°C 36%
30°C 28%
28°C 24%
31°C or higher 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jul 2026
21°C or below
$486 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$536 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$755 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$412 Vol.
1%
27°C
$479 Vol.
4%
28°C
$335 Vol.
24%
29°C
$904 Vol.
36%
30°C
$951 Vol.
28%
31°C or higher
$914 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul's July 16 maximum will hinge on the timing and extent of monsoon moisture and cloud cover, with consensus highs clustered near 29–30 °C. Diurnal heating under a strengthening subtropical ridge supports upper-20s readings, yet scattered showers or thicker stratiform clouds could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower by limiting insolation. Model spread arises mainly from the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer humidity, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C while discounting extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated model runs and KMA short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$6,383Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul's July 16 maximum will hinge on the timing and extent of monsoon moisture and cloud cover, with consensus highs clustered near 29–30 °C. Diurnal heating under a strengthening subtropical ridge supports upper-20s readings, yet scattered showers or thicker stratiform clouds could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower by limiting insolation. Model spread arises mainly from the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer humidity, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C while discounting extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated model runs and KMA short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,383Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and global ensemble forecasts indicate Seoul's July 16 maximum will hinge on the timing and extent of monsoon moisture and cloud cover, with consensus highs clustered near 29–30 °C. Diurnal heating under a strengthening subtropical ridge supports upper-20s readings, yet scattered showers or thicker stratiform clouds could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower by limiting insolation. Model spread arises mainly from the precise arrival of a weak frontal boundary and boundary-layer humidity, both of which remain sensitive to small shifts in steering flow. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 29 °C and 30 °C while discounting extremes above 31 °C or below 27 °C. Updated model runs and KMA short-range guidance expected over the next 48 hours will narrow this range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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