Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 4 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 4 de agosto?
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
38%
35°C
33%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C o más
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 ago 2026
29°C or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$104 Vol.
2%
31°C
$69 Vol.
2%
32°C
$203 Vol.
4%
33°C
$209 Vol.
18%
34°C
$148 Vol.
38%
35°C
$442 Vol.
33%
36°C
$97 Vol.
11%
37°C
$58 Vol.
2%
38°C
$125 Vol.
4%
39°C o más
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,558Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,558Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature of 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity typical of early August. These conditions limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating and urban heat island effects push maxima upward, though scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could cap the reading near 34°C. Historical climatology shows early-August highs averaging 32–34°C, with recent days near 37°C underscoring the narrow margin between outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against forecast uncertainty as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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