Latest forecasts from global models indicate a daily maximum near 28°C in Tel Aviv on October 2, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover limiting peak insolation, and the moderating influence of the Mediterranean sea breeze that typically peaks in the afternoon. Trader consensus remains nearly even between 29°C and 30°C because small differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing, exact timing of any clearing, and urban heat retention create realistic uncertainty around the precise peak. Historical early-October averages hover near 28–29°C, with coastal observations often falling 1–2°C below inland readings due to onshore flow. Updated high-resolution runs and official Israel Meteorological Service guidance later today could shift the balance if skies clear more than expected.