Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for ¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío el...?
Geopolítica·Aceite

¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío el...?

icon for ¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío el...?
Geopolítica·Aceite

¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío el...?

Ended: ago 31

Ended: ago 31

$276,135 Vol.

24 jul 2026
Polymarket

$276,135 Vol.

Polymarket

July 24

$9,613 Vol.

Yes

July 25

$1,934 Vol.

No

July 26

$9,536 Vol.

No

July 27

$1,435 Vol.

No

July 28

$6,945 Vol.

No

July 29

$1,859 Vol.

No

30 de julio

$2,730 Vol.

No

31 de julio

$2,355 Vol.

No

1 de agosto

$2,562 Vol.

No

2 de agosto

$2,754 Vol.

No

3 de agosto

$4,060 Vol.

No

4 de agosto

$4,544 Vol.

Sí

5 de agosto

$97,178 Vol.

No

6 de agosto

$3,323 Vol.

No

7 de agosto

$1,915 Vol.

No

8 de agosto

$15,269 Vol.

No

9 de agosto

$7,108 Vol.

No

10 de agosto

$2,398 Vol.

No

11 de agosto

$10,681 Vol.

Sí

12 de agosto

$2,505 Vol.

No

13 de agosto

$1,215 Vol.

No

14 de agosto

$6,420 Vol.

No

15 de agosto

$6,523 Vol.

No

16 de agosto

$3,529 Vol.

No

17 de agosto

$15,828 Vol.

Sí

18 de agosto

$2,842 Vol.

No

19 de agosto

$3,213 Vol.

No

20 de agosto

$4,112 Vol.

No

21 de agosto

$6,407 Vol.

No

22 de agosto

$433 Vol.

No

23 de agosto

$2,566 Vol.

No

24 de agosto

$6,425 Vol.

Sí

25 de agosto

$5,124 Vol.

No

26 de agosto

$1,920 Vol.

No

27 de agosto

$2,432 Vol.

No

28 de agosto

$3,013 Vol.

No

29 de agosto

$6,347 Vol.

No

30 de agosto

$2,618 Vol.

No

31 de agosto

$4,463 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi territorial gains along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including capture of the Mokha port and Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 10–11, 2026, have tightened control over a critical chokepoint handling 10–12% of global trade and rerouted Saudi oil exports after the Strait of Hormuz disruption. These advances elevate the risk of kinetic strikes on commercial vessels, driving elevated implied probabilities in related Polymarket contracts and pushing Brent crude above $100 per barrel while U.S. diesel prices exceeded $6 per gallon. Freight rates on China–Saudi routes have risen 37% since late July amid rerouting around Africa. Traders are pricing in sustained supply-chain pressure and potential further escalation ahead of any Saudi or international response, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on heightened disruption likelihood through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$276,135
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi territorial gains along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including capture of the Mokha port and Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 10–11, 2026, have tightened control over a critical chokepoint handling 10–12% of global trade and rerouted Saudi oil exports after the Strait of Hormuz disruption. These advances elevate the risk of kinetic strikes on commercial vessels, driving elevated implied probabilities in related Polymarket contracts and pushing Brent crude above $100 per barrel while U.S. diesel prices exceeded $6 per gallon. Freight rates on China–Saudi routes have risen 37% since late July amid rerouting around Africa. Traders are pricing in sustained supply-chain pressure and potential further escalation ahead of any Saudi or international response, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on heightened disruption likelihood through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$276,135
Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Relacionado

icon for ¿Tendrán éxito los hutíes en atacar barcos antes del 11 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Tendrán éxito los hutíes en atacar barcos antes del 11 de septiembre de 2026?

3%
Sí
icon for ¿Los hutíes secuestran un petrolero antes del 30 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Los hutíes secuestran un petrolero antes del 30 de septiembre de 2026?

4%
Sí
icon for Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?

Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?

39%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío el...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 39 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "July 24" con 100%, seguido de "4 de agosto" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío el...?" ha generado $276.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío el...?", explora los 39 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío el...?" es "July 24" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "4 de agosto" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Los hutíes apuntan con éxito al envío el...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.