President Donald Trump's job approval rating has declined to the low-to-mid 30s in recent polls, marking new second-term lows around 34-36% as of mid-May 2026, primarily driven by widespread voter dissatisfaction with inflation, high prices, and economic performance—where approval stands at a career-low 30%. Polling averages from RealClearPolitics, Gallup, and others reflect a steady slide over the past month, exacerbated by the ongoing war in Iran fueling cost-of-living pressures and recession fears ahead of November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs these headwinds against potential rebounds from policy wins or economic data releases, with historical precedents showing incumbents rarely exceed 45% at this stage amid similar challenges; key upcoming catalysts include Federal Reserve decisions and midterm generic ballot trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
¿Qué tan alto será el índice de aprobación de Trump en 2026?
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
↑ 44%
9%
↑ 45%
10%
↑ 46%
14%
↑ 47%
45%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
11%
↑ 50%
3%
$4,837 Vol.
↑ 44%
$2,703 Vol.
9%
↑ 45%
$137 Vol.
10%
↑ 46%
$721 Vol.
14%
↑ 47%
$0 Vol.
45%
↑ 48%
$392 Vol.
5%
↑ 49%
$0 Vol.
11%
↑ 50%
$885 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Donald Trump's job approval rating has declined to the low-to-mid 30s in recent polls, marking new second-term lows around 34-36% as of mid-May 2026, primarily driven by widespread voter dissatisfaction with inflation, high prices, and economic performance—where approval stands at a career-low 30%. Polling averages from RealClearPolitics, Gallup, and others reflect a steady slide over the past month, exacerbated by the ongoing war in Iran fueling cost-of-living pressures and recession fears ahead of November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs these headwinds against potential rebounds from policy wins or economic data releases, with historical precedents showing incumbents rarely exceed 45% at this stage amid similar challenges; key upcoming catalysts include Federal Reserve decisions and midterm generic ballot trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$4,837Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Donald Trump's job approval rating has declined to the low-to-mid 30s in recent polls, marking new second-term lows around 34-36% as of mid-May 2026, primarily driven by widespread voter dissatisfaction with inflation, high prices, and economic performance—where approval stands at a career-low 30%. Polling averages from RealClearPolitics, Gallup, and others reflect a steady slide over the past month, exacerbated by the ongoing war in Iran fueling cost-of-living pressures and recession fears ahead of November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs these headwinds against potential rebounds from policy wins or economic data releases, with historical precedents showing incumbents rarely exceed 45% at this stage amid similar challenges; key upcoming catalysts include Federal Reserve decisions and midterm generic ballot trends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$4,837Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's job approval rating has declined to the low-to-mid 30s in recent polls, marking new second-term lows around 34-36% as of mid-May 2026, primarily driven by widespread voter dissatisfaction with inflation, high prices, and economic performance—where approval stands at a career-low 30%. Polling averages from RealClearPolitics, Gallup, and others reflect a steady slide over the past month, exacerbated by the ongoing war in Iran fueling cost-of-living pressures and recession fears ahead of November 2026 midterms. Trader consensus on Polymarket weighs these headwinds against potential rebounds from policy wins or economic data releases, with historical precedents showing incumbents rarely exceed 45% at this stage amid similar challenges; key upcoming catalysts include Federal Reserve decisions and midterm generic ballot trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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