Anthropic’s shift toward a November 2026 IPO window, after advisors recommended delaying from October to incorporate third-quarter results, underpins the market’s 47.8% implied probability for that month. Rapid revenue growth—with annualized run rate exceeding $100 billion and projections nearing $110 billion by year-end—combined with a targeted $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise, has strengthened trader confidence in a late-2026 listing. The company’s confidential S-1 filing from June, ongoing roadshow preparations, and a new $15 billion credit facility further support the timeline, while OpenAI’s own postponement to 2027 reduces near-term competitive pressure. Key upcoming catalysts include the public filing expected in late September and mid-October investor meetings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNoviembre de 2026 47.8%
Diciembre de 2026 22.6%
Enero de 2027 9.4%
Marzo de 2027 5.0%
$252,076 Vol.
$252,076 Vol.
Septiembre de 2026
<1%
Octubre de 2026
2%
Noviembre de 2026
48%
Diciembre de 2026
23%
Enero de 2027
9%
Febrero de 2027
4%
Marzo de 2027
5%
Abril de 2027
2%
Mayo de 2027
1%
Junio de 2027
1%
Julio de 2027
1%
Agosto de 2027
<1%
Septiembre de 2027
1%
Octubre de 2027
1%
Noviembre de 2027
1%
Diciembre de 2027
1%
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
2%
Noviembre de 2026 47.8%
Diciembre de 2026 22.6%
Enero de 2027 9.4%
Marzo de 2027 5.0%
$252,076 Vol.
$252,076 Vol.
Septiembre de 2026
<1%
Octubre de 2026
2%
Noviembre de 2026
48%
Diciembre de 2026
23%
Enero de 2027
9%
Febrero de 2027
4%
Marzo de 2027
5%
Abril de 2027
2%
Mayo de 2027
1%
Junio de 2027
1%
Julio de 2027
1%
Agosto de 2027
<1%
Septiembre de 2027
1%
Octubre de 2027
1%
Noviembre de 2027
1%
Diciembre de 2027
1%
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
2%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s shift toward a November 2026 IPO window, after advisors recommended delaying from October to incorporate third-quarter results, underpins the market’s 47.8% implied probability for that month. Rapid revenue growth—with annualized run rate exceeding $100 billion and projections nearing $110 billion by year-end—combined with a targeted $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise, has strengthened trader confidence in a late-2026 listing. The company’s confidential S-1 filing from June, ongoing roadshow preparations, and a new $15 billion credit facility further support the timeline, while OpenAI’s own postponement to 2027 reduces near-term competitive pressure. Key upcoming catalysts include the public filing expected in late September and mid-October investor meetings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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