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icon for ¿John Ratcliffe como director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?
Política·Ciara

¿John Ratcliffe como director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿John Ratcliffe como director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?
Política·Ciara

¿John Ratcliffe como director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?

dic 31

dic 31

Sí

10% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

10% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe remains firmly in place as CIA Director, with trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” probability that he departs by year-end. Since his January 2025 confirmation, he has expanded the agency’s role in high-priority operations, including support for actions in Iran and Venezuela, while advancing internal reforms to accelerate technology acquisitions and AI integration. His August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to deliver messages on Ukraine, NATO security, and Iran support, followed by preparations for a larger role in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, underscore his continued influence within the administration. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate plans for removal or resignation before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,482
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe remains firmly in place as CIA Director, with trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” probability that he departs by year-end. Since his January 2025 confirmation, he has expanded the agency’s role in high-priority operations, including support for actions in Iran and Venezuela, while advancing internal reforms to accelerate technology acquisitions and AI integration. His August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to deliver messages on Ukraine, NATO security, and Iran support, followed by preparations for a larger role in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, underscore his continued influence within the administration. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate plans for removal or resignation before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,482
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿John Ratcliffe como director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿John Ratcliffe fuera como Director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿John Ratcliffe como director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿John Ratcliffe como director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿John Ratcliffe como director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "¿John Ratcliffe fuera como Director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿John Ratcliffe como director de la CIA antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.