South Korean President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which suspends all prior criminal prosecutions except for insurrection or treason throughout his term ending in 2030. Courts have indefinitely postponed trials on charges including Daejang-dong graft, election-law violations, and alleged remittances to North Korea. The Democratic Party’s National Assembly majority blocks impeachment efforts that require a two-thirds vote, while opposition petitions remain stalled without procedural traction. Recent diplomatic engagements with U.S. and Chinese officials have further stabilized his position, and proposed special-counsel legislation aims to review rather than advance existing cases. Traders therefore price the probability of arrest or detention by December 31, 2026, below 11 percent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Lee Jae-myung arrestado antes de 2027?
¿Lee Jae-myung arrestado antes de 2027?
Sí
$319,037 Vol.
$319,037 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$319,037 Vol.
$319,037 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which suspends all prior criminal prosecutions except for insurrection or treason throughout his term ending in 2030. Courts have indefinitely postponed trials on charges including Daejang-dong graft, election-law violations, and alleged remittances to North Korea. The Democratic Party’s National Assembly majority blocks impeachment efforts that require a two-thirds vote, while opposition petitions remain stalled without procedural traction. Recent diplomatic engagements with U.S. and Chinese officials have further stabilized his position, and proposed special-counsel legislation aims to review rather than advance existing cases. Traders therefore price the probability of arrest or detention by December 31, 2026, below 11 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volumen
$319,037Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which suspends all prior criminal prosecutions except for insurrection or treason throughout his term ending in 2030. Courts have indefinitely postponed trials on charges including Daejang-dong graft, election-law violations, and alleged remittances to North Korea. The Democratic Party’s National Assembly majority blocks impeachment efforts that require a two-thirds vote, while opposition petitions remain stalled without procedural traction. Recent diplomatic engagements with U.S. and Chinese officials have further stabilized his position, and proposed special-counsel legislation aims to review rather than advance existing cases. Traders therefore price the probability of arrest or detention by December 31, 2026, below 11 percent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$319,037Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, which suspends all prior criminal prosecutions except for insurrection or treason throughout his term ending in 2030. Courts have indefinitely postponed trials on charges including Daejang-dong graft, election-law violations, and alleged remittances to North Korea. The Democratic Party’s National Assembly majority blocks impeachment efforts that require a two-thirds vote, while opposition petitions remain stalled without procedural traction. Recent diplomatic engagements with U.S. and Chinese officials have further stabilized his position, and proposed special-counsel legislation aims to review rather than advance existing cases. Traders therefore price the probability of arrest or detention by December 31, 2026, below 11 percent.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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