South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for an impeachment motion highly improbable absent a major shift in legislative composition before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for President Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled at the committee stage precisely because the ruling party controls the floor. Lee’s approval ratings, though dipping below 50 percent after local elections and ballot shortages, remain sufficient to sustain party cohesion, while presidential immunity continues to shield ongoing pre-inauguration legal matters. Recent initiatives on North Korea dialogue and budget priorities have further consolidated his base without triggering institutional challenges. Traders therefore view successful impeachment as structurally blocked until the next parliamentary cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Lee Jae-myung destituido antes de 2027?
¿Lee Jae-myung destituido antes de 2027?
Sí
6% probabilidad
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
6% probabilidad
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for an impeachment motion highly improbable absent a major shift in legislative composition before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for President Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled at the committee stage precisely because the ruling party controls the floor. Lee’s approval ratings, though dipping below 50 percent after local elections and ballot shortages, remain sufficient to sustain party cohesion, while presidential immunity continues to shield ongoing pre-inauguration legal matters. Recent initiatives on North Korea dialogue and budget priorities have further consolidated his base without triggering institutional challenges. Traders therefore view successful impeachment as structurally blocked until the next parliamentary cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$19,133Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for an impeachment motion highly improbable absent a major shift in legislative composition before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for President Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled at the committee stage precisely because the ruling party controls the floor. Lee’s approval ratings, though dipping below 50 percent after local elections and ballot shortages, remain sufficient to sustain party cohesion, while presidential immunity continues to shield ongoing pre-inauguration legal matters. Recent initiatives on North Korea dialogue and budget priorities have further consolidated his base without triggering institutional challenges. Traders therefore view successful impeachment as structurally blocked until the next parliamentary cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$19,133Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for an impeachment motion highly improbable absent a major shift in legislative composition before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for President Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled at the committee stage precisely because the ruling party controls the floor. Lee’s approval ratings, though dipping below 50 percent after local elections and ballot shortages, remain sufficient to sustain party cohesion, while presidential immunity continues to shield ongoing pre-inauguration legal matters. Recent initiatives on North Korea dialogue and budget priorities have further consolidated his base without triggering institutional challenges. Traders therefore view successful impeachment as structurally blocked until the next parliamentary cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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