South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, a structural barrier that makes securing the two-thirds vote required for impeachment highly improbable without significant cross-party defections. President Lee Jae-myung, in office since June 2025, has maintained relatively stable governance amid polarized politics, with approval ratings remaining above 50 percent for most of his term despite a recent dip following June 2026 local elections. A June 2026 opposition petition for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and showed no path to plenary action. Traders view these institutional and electoral realities, absent major new scandals or legislative shifts before 2027, as the dominant factors behind the strong consensus against early removal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Lee Jae-myung destituido antes de 2027?
¿Lee Jae-myung destituido antes de 2027?
Sí
6% probabilidad
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
6% probabilidad
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, a structural barrier that makes securing the two-thirds vote required for impeachment highly improbable without significant cross-party defections. President Lee Jae-myung, in office since June 2025, has maintained relatively stable governance amid polarized politics, with approval ratings remaining above 50 percent for most of his term despite a recent dip following June 2026 local elections. A June 2026 opposition petition for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and showed no path to plenary action. Traders view these institutional and electoral realities, absent major new scandals or legislative shifts before 2027, as the dominant factors behind the strong consensus against early removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$19,133Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, a structural barrier that makes securing the two-thirds vote required for impeachment highly improbable without significant cross-party defections. President Lee Jae-myung, in office since June 2025, has maintained relatively stable governance amid polarized politics, with approval ratings remaining above 50 percent for most of his term despite a recent dip following June 2026 local elections. A June 2026 opposition petition for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and showed no path to plenary action. Traders view these institutional and electoral realities, absent major new scandals or legislative shifts before 2027, as the dominant factors behind the strong consensus against early removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$19,133Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, a structural barrier that makes securing the two-thirds vote required for impeachment highly improbable without significant cross-party defections. President Lee Jae-myung, in office since June 2025, has maintained relatively stable governance amid polarized politics, with approval ratings remaining above 50 percent for most of his term despite a recent dip following June 2026 local elections. A June 2026 opposition petition for his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee and showed no path to plenary action. Traders view these institutional and electoral realities, absent major new scandals or legislative shifts before 2027, as the dominant factors behind the strong consensus against early removal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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