Recent moderation in South Korea’s consumer price index, which fell to 2.8% year-over-year in July 2026 from a three-year high of 3.2% in June amid easing transport and food costs, underpins trader focus on whether annual inflation will settle near the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% projection. The BOK’s July rate hike to 2.75%—its first since 2023—signaled persistent above-target pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and gradual demand recovery tied to semiconductor exports, even as the central bank and government revised 2026 forecasts upward to 2.6–2.7%. With core inflation holding around 2.5% and uncertainties around global energy prices, wage growth, and exchange rates, market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ brackets. Upcoming August CPI data and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2,7% a 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% a 2,6% 24.8%
2,1% a 2,3% 12.5%
$31,215 Vol.
$31,215 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
2%
1,5% a 1,7%
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
13%
2,4% a 2,6%
25%
2,7% a 2,9%
33%
3,0%+
29%
2,7% a 2,9% 32.8%
3,0%+ 28.6%
2,4% a 2,6% 24.8%
2,1% a 2,3% 12.5%
$31,215 Vol.
$31,215 Vol.
31 dic 2026
<1,5%
$2,448 Vol.
2%
1,5% a 1,7%
$2,323 Vol.
2%
1,8% a 2,0%
$1,474 Vol.
1%
2,1% a 2,3%
$4,055 Vol.
13%
2,4% a 2,6%
$4,290 Vol.
25%
2,7% a 2,9%
$4,993 Vol.
33%
3,0%+
$11,633 Vol.
29%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent moderation in South Korea’s consumer price index, which fell to 2.8% year-over-year in July 2026 from a three-year high of 3.2% in June amid easing transport and food costs, underpins trader focus on whether annual inflation will settle near the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% projection. The BOK’s July rate hike to 2.75%—its first since 2023—signaled persistent above-target pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and gradual demand recovery tied to semiconductor exports, even as the central bank and government revised 2026 forecasts upward to 2.6–2.7%. With core inflation holding around 2.5% and uncertainties around global energy prices, wage growth, and exchange rates, market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ brackets. Upcoming August CPI data and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the balance.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$31,215Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent moderation in South Korea’s consumer price index, which fell to 2.8% year-over-year in July 2026 from a three-year high of 3.2% in June amid easing transport and food costs, underpins trader focus on whether annual inflation will settle near the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% projection. The BOK’s July rate hike to 2.75%—its first since 2023—signaled persistent above-target pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and gradual demand recovery tied to semiconductor exports, even as the central bank and government revised 2026 forecasts upward to 2.6–2.7%. With core inflation holding around 2.5% and uncertainties around global energy prices, wage growth, and exchange rates, market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ brackets. Upcoming August CPI data and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the balance.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$31,215Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent moderation in South Korea’s consumer price index, which fell to 2.8% year-over-year in July 2026 from a three-year high of 3.2% in June amid easing transport and food costs, underpins trader focus on whether annual inflation will settle near the Bank of Korea’s 2.7% projection. The BOK’s July rate hike to 2.75%—its first since 2023—signaled persistent above-target pressures from elevated oil prices, a weaker won, and gradual demand recovery tied to semiconductor exports, even as the central bank and government revised 2026 forecasts upward to 2.6–2.7%. With core inflation holding around 2.5% and uncertainties around global energy prices, wage growth, and exchange rates, market-implied odds remain tightly clustered between the 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ brackets. Upcoming August CPI data and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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