Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic achieves a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026, propelled by reports on May 12 of advanced talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900-950 billion post-money valuation—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 raise. Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate has surged to $30-39 billion, surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion, fueled by enterprise traction with over 300,000 business clients and 80% recurring revenue from high-value contracts among Fortune 10 firms. Secondary markets already imply Anthropic above $1 trillion, reflecting efficiency in compute spend and projected positive cash flow by 2027 versus OpenAI's 2030 break-even path. Key catalyst: potential round close by late May amid AI infrastructure expansion.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$56,998 Vol.
$56,998 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$56,998 Vol.
$56,998 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic achieves a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026, propelled by reports on May 12 of advanced talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900-950 billion post-money valuation—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 raise. Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate has surged to $30-39 billion, surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion, fueled by enterprise traction with over 300,000 business clients and 80% recurring revenue from high-value contracts among Fortune 10 firms. Secondary markets already imply Anthropic above $1 trillion, reflecting efficiency in compute spend and projected positive cash flow by 2027 versus OpenAI's 2030 break-even path. Key catalyst: potential round close by late May amid AI infrastructure expansion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Volumen
$56,998Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic achieves a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026, propelled by reports on May 12 of advanced talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900-950 billion post-money valuation—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 raise. Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate has surged to $30-39 billion, surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion, fueled by enterprise traction with over 300,000 business clients and 80% recurring revenue from high-value contracts among Fortune 10 firms. Secondary markets already imply Anthropic above $1 trillion, reflecting efficiency in compute spend and projected positive cash flow by 2027 versus OpenAI's 2030 break-even path. Key catalyst: potential round close by late May amid AI infrastructure expansion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price).
The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$56,998Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability that Anthropic achieves a higher valuation than OpenAI in 2026, propelled by reports on May 12 of advanced talks for a $30 billion funding round at a $900-950 billion post-money valuation—eclipsing OpenAI's $852 billion mark from its March 31 raise. Anthropic's annualized revenue run-rate has surged to $30-39 billion, surpassing OpenAI's $25 billion, fueled by enterprise traction with over 300,000 business clients and 80% recurring revenue from high-value contracts among Fortune 10 firms. Secondary markets already imply Anthropic above $1 trillion, reflecting efficiency in compute spend and projected positive cash flow by 2027 versus OpenAI's 2030 break-even path. Key catalyst: potential round close by late May amid AI infrastructure expansion.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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