Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid ongoing private funding talks for a $30 billion round at over $900 billion valuation, as reported this week. The AI lab's Claude models continue powering revenue growth to $30 billion annualized, attracting preemptive investor offers while Amazon and Google deepen commitments, reducing near-term public listing urgency. Historical IPO timelines for mega-cap tech firms typically span 3–6 months post-filing, making a June close implausible without a surprise confidential submission. Realistic challenges include accelerated regulatory review or a strategic pivot from private capital, though current momentum points to a potential Q4 debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 98.6%
600 mil millones+ <1%
300–400 mil millones <1%
400–600 mil millones <1%
$1,289,328 Vol.
$1,289,328 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 mil millones
<1%
300–400 mil millones
<1%
400–600 mil millones
<1%
600 mil millones+
1%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
99%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 98.6%
600 mil millones+ <1%
300–400 mil millones <1%
400–600 mil millones <1%
$1,289,328 Vol.
$1,289,328 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
$259,300 Vol.
<1%
100–200B
$91,548 Vol.
<1%
200–300 mil millones
$147,181 Vol.
<1%
300–400 mil millones
$98,599 Vol.
<1%
400–600 mil millones
$159,671 Vol.
<1%
600 mil millones+
$285,097 Vol.
1%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
$247,933 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid ongoing private funding talks for a $30 billion round at over $900 billion valuation, as reported this week. The AI lab's Claude models continue powering revenue growth to $30 billion annualized, attracting preemptive investor offers while Amazon and Google deepen commitments, reducing near-term public listing urgency. Historical IPO timelines for mega-cap tech firms typically span 3–6 months post-filing, making a June close implausible without a surprise confidential submission. Realistic challenges include accelerated regulatory review or a strategic pivot from private capital, though current momentum points to a potential Q4 debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,289,328Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid ongoing private funding talks for a $30 billion round at over $900 billion valuation, as reported this week. The AI lab's Claude models continue powering revenue growth to $30 billion annualized, attracting preemptive investor offers while Amazon and Google deepen commitments, reducing near-term public listing urgency. Historical IPO timelines for mega-cap tech firms typically span 3–6 months post-filing, making a June close implausible without a surprise confidential submission. Realistic challenges include accelerated regulatory review or a strategic pivot from private capital, though current momentum points to a potential Q4 debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,289,328Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (98.7% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement amid ongoing private funding talks for a $30 billion round at over $900 billion valuation, as reported this week. The AI lab's Claude models continue powering revenue growth to $30 billion annualized, attracting preemptive investor offers while Amazon and Google deepen commitments, reducing near-term public listing urgency. Historical IPO timelines for mega-cap tech firms typically span 3–6 months post-filing, making a June close implausible without a surprise confidential submission. Realistic challenges include accelerated regulatory review or a strategic pivot from private capital, though current momentum points to a potential Q4 debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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