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icon for ¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?

¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?

¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?

20-23 48%

16-19 48%

24-27 47%

28-31 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

20-23 48%

16-19 48%

24-27 47%

28-31 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<12

$0 Vol.

22%

12-15

$0 Vol.

44%

16-19

$0 Vol.

48%

20-23

$0 Vol.

48%

24-27

$0 Vol.

47%

28-31

$6 Vol.

45%

32+

$0 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout across more than a dozen U.S. metros, including recent driverless launches in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, underpins the closely matched market odds around 32+ cities versus lower brackets. Official statements outline groundwork for 20-plus additional U.S. markets plus Tokyo and London, supported by fleet scaling via domestic manufacturing and coverage expansions now exceeding 1,400 square miles in 11 cities. Competitive dynamics favor Waymo’s lead in paid robotaxi miles over slower rivals, yet regulatory approvals, mapping timelines, and production ramp-ups remain key swing factors that could limit net city count by year-end. Traders weigh these execution risks against historical expansion pace when assessing the narrow probability spread.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo’s rapid 2026 rollout across more than a dozen U.S. metros, including recent driverless launches in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando, underpins the closely matched market odds around 32+ cities versus lower brackets. Official statements outline groundwork for 20-plus additional U.S. markets plus Tokyo and London, supported by fleet scaling via domestic manufacturing and coverage expansions now exceeding 1,400 square miles in 11 cities. Competitive dynamics favor Waymo’s lead in paid robotaxi miles over slower rivals, yet regulatory approvals, mapping timelines, and production ramp-ups remain key swing factors that could limit net city count by year-end. Traders weigh these execution risks against historical expansion pace when assessing the narrow probability spread.

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "16-19" con 48%, seguido de "20-23" con 48%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "16-19" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "20-23" con 48%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿En cuántas ciudades operará Waymo antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.