OpenAI's shift away from consumer-facing social experiments, most notably the March 2026 shutdown of its Sora short-video app after just six months amid weak engagement and deepfake safety issues, has anchored trader sentiment at 62.5% for "No" on a 2026 social-network release. Early 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype built around ChatGPT image generation and social feeds briefly boosted optimism, but the company's 2026 priorities now center on practical large language model adoption, enterprise tools, and policy proposals like AI-driven social safety nets rather than standalone platforms. Competitive pressures from Meta's AI feeds and X's integrations add uncertainty, while any potential rollout would face strict scrutiny over content moderation and regulatory approval. Sam Altman's upcoming developer events could still surface new integrations, but the recent track record favors caution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$52,197 Vol.
$52,197 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$52,197 Vol.
$52,197 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's shift away from consumer-facing social experiments, most notably the March 2026 shutdown of its Sora short-video app after just six months amid weak engagement and deepfake safety issues, has anchored trader sentiment at 62.5% for "No" on a 2026 social-network release. Early 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype built around ChatGPT image generation and social feeds briefly boosted optimism, but the company's 2026 priorities now center on practical large language model adoption, enterprise tools, and policy proposals like AI-driven social safety nets rather than standalone platforms. Competitive pressures from Meta's AI feeds and X's integrations add uncertainty, while any potential rollout would face strict scrutiny over content moderation and regulatory approval. Sam Altman's upcoming developer events could still surface new integrations, but the recent track record favors caution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volumen
$52,197Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's shift away from consumer-facing social experiments, most notably the March 2026 shutdown of its Sora short-video app after just six months amid weak engagement and deepfake safety issues, has anchored trader sentiment at 62.5% for "No" on a 2026 social-network release. Early 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype built around ChatGPT image generation and social feeds briefly boosted optimism, but the company's 2026 priorities now center on practical large language model adoption, enterprise tools, and policy proposals like AI-driven social safety nets rather than standalone platforms. Competitive pressures from Meta's AI feeds and X's integrations add uncertainty, while any potential rollout would face strict scrutiny over content moderation and regulatory approval. Sam Altman's upcoming developer events could still surface new integrations, but the recent track record favors caution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$52,197Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's shift away from consumer-facing social experiments, most notably the March 2026 shutdown of its Sora short-video app after just six months amid weak engagement and deepfake safety issues, has anchored trader sentiment at 62.5% for "No" on a 2026 social-network release. Early 2025 reports of an internal X-style prototype built around ChatGPT image generation and social feeds briefly boosted optimism, but the company's 2026 priorities now center on practical large language model adoption, enterprise tools, and policy proposals like AI-driven social safety nets rather than standalone platforms. Competitive pressures from Meta's AI feeds and X's integrations add uncertainty, while any potential rollout would face strict scrutiny over content moderation and regulatory approval. Sam Altman's upcoming developer events could still surface new integrations, but the recent track record favors caution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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