Recent softening in leading labor indicators has driven Polymarket traders to price a weak May nonfarm payrolls outcome, with 0-50k jobs added at 42% implied probability edging out 100-150k at 38.5%, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid economic headwinds. The ADP preliminary report showed private employers averaging just 33,000 jobs weekly through late April, while initial jobless claims climbed to 211,000 for the week ending May 9—up 12,000 from prior. April's +115,000 payroll gain beat consensus estimates near 60,000 but marked deceleration from March, with unemployment steady at 4.3%. Upcoming ADP May data on June 3 and final claims could sway the balance before the June 6 BLS release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many jobs added in May?
How many jobs added in May?
150k – 200k 30%
50k – 100k 17%
<0 13%
200k+ 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
<0
13%
0 – 50k
42%
50k – 100k
17%
100k – 150k
42%
150k – 200k
30%
200k+
12%
150k – 200k 30%
50k – 100k 17%
<0 13%
200k+ 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
<0
$138 Vol.
13%
0 – 50k
$70 Vol.
42%
50k – 100k
$40 Vol.
17%
100k – 150k
$63 Vol.
42%
150k – 200k
$38 Vol.
30%
200k+
$38 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent softening in leading labor indicators has driven Polymarket traders to price a weak May nonfarm payrolls outcome, with 0-50k jobs added at 42% implied probability edging out 100-150k at 38.5%, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid economic headwinds. The ADP preliminary report showed private employers averaging just 33,000 jobs weekly through late April, while initial jobless claims climbed to 211,000 for the week ending May 9—up 12,000 from prior. April's +115,000 payroll gain beat consensus estimates near 60,000 but marked deceleration from March, with unemployment steady at 4.3%. Upcoming ADP May data on June 3 and final claims could sway the balance before the June 6 BLS release.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volumen
$386Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent softening in leading labor indicators has driven Polymarket traders to price a weak May nonfarm payrolls outcome, with 0-50k jobs added at 42% implied probability edging out 100-150k at 38.5%, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid economic headwinds. The ADP preliminary report showed private employers averaging just 33,000 jobs weekly through late April, while initial jobless claims climbed to 211,000 for the week ending May 9—up 12,000 from prior. April's +115,000 payroll gain beat consensus estimates near 60,000 but marked deceleration from March, with unemployment steady at 4.3%. Upcoming ADP May data on June 3 and final claims could sway the balance before the June 6 BLS release.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volumen
$386Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent softening in leading labor indicators has driven Polymarket traders to price a weak May nonfarm payrolls outcome, with 0-50k jobs added at 42% implied probability edging out 100-150k at 38.5%, reflecting closely contested sentiment amid economic headwinds. The ADP preliminary report showed private employers averaging just 33,000 jobs weekly through late April, while initial jobless claims climbed to 211,000 for the week ending May 9—up 12,000 from prior. April's +115,000 payroll gain beat consensus estimates near 60,000 but marked deceleration from March, with unemployment steady at 4.3%. Upcoming ADP May data on June 3 and final claims could sway the balance before the June 6 BLS release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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