Recent South African CPI prints near the SARB’s 3% target, with March 2026 inflation at 3.1% following February’s 3.0% reading, have anchored market-implied odds for the 2026 annual average around the 2.9-3.2% band. Persistent upside pressures from elevated fuel and energy costs amid Middle East tensions, combined with rand volatility, sustain competitive pricing for outcomes above 5.0% despite the subdued trajectory. Core inflation remains contained near 3.2%, supporting the central bank’s policy stance at 6.75%, while the May CPI release due shortly will test whether temporary factors reverse. Traders price in these near-term catalysts alongside historical base rates that rarely sustain sub-3% averages without sustained rand strength.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2,9-3,2% 42.4%
<2,6% 42.0%
4,4-4,7% 14.2%
2,6-2,9% 8.9%
$21,308 Vol.
$21,308 Vol.
20 ene 2027
<2,6%
42%
2,6-2,9%
22%
2,9-3,2%
42%
3,2-3,5%
22%
3,5-3,8%
16%
3.8-4.1%
30%
4,1-4,4%
34%
4,4-4,7%
14%
4,7-5,0%
22%
>5,0%
35%
2,9-3,2% 42.4%
<2,6% 42.0%
4,4-4,7% 14.2%
2,6-2,9% 8.9%
$21,308 Vol.
$21,308 Vol.
20 ene 2027
<2,6%
$260 Vol.
42%
2,6-2,9%
$275 Vol.
22%
2,9-3,2%
$362 Vol.
42%
3,2-3,5%
$363 Vol.
22%
3,5-3,8%
$465 Vol.
16%
3.8-4.1%
$655 Vol.
30%
4,1-4,4%
$532 Vol.
34%
4,4-4,7%
$12,089 Vol.
14%
4,7-5,0%
$366 Vol.
22%
>5,0%
$5,941 Vol.
35%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African CPI prints near the SARB’s 3% target, with March 2026 inflation at 3.1% following February’s 3.0% reading, have anchored market-implied odds for the 2026 annual average around the 2.9-3.2% band. Persistent upside pressures from elevated fuel and energy costs amid Middle East tensions, combined with rand volatility, sustain competitive pricing for outcomes above 5.0% despite the subdued trajectory. Core inflation remains contained near 3.2%, supporting the central bank’s policy stance at 6.75%, while the May CPI release due shortly will test whether temporary factors reverse. Traders price in these near-term catalysts alongside historical base rates that rarely sustain sub-3% averages without sustained rand strength.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Mercado abierto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volumen
$21,308Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Recent South African CPI prints near the SARB’s 3% target, with March 2026 inflation at 3.1% following February’s 3.0% reading, have anchored market-implied odds for the 2026 annual average around the 2.9-3.2% band. Persistent upside pressures from elevated fuel and energy costs amid Middle East tensions, combined with rand volatility, sustain competitive pricing for outcomes above 5.0% despite the subdued trajectory. Core inflation remains contained near 3.2%, supporting the central bank’s policy stance at 6.75%, while the May CPI release due shortly will test whether temporary factors reverse. Traders price in these near-term catalysts alongside historical base rates that rarely sustain sub-3% averages without sustained rand strength.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volumen
$21,308Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent South African CPI prints near the SARB’s 3% target, with March 2026 inflation at 3.1% following February’s 3.0% reading, have anchored market-implied odds for the 2026 annual average around the 2.9-3.2% band. Persistent upside pressures from elevated fuel and energy costs amid Middle East tensions, combined with rand volatility, sustain competitive pricing for outcomes above 5.0% despite the subdued trajectory. Core inflation remains contained near 3.2%, supporting the central bank’s policy stance at 6.75%, while the May CPI release due shortly will test whether temporary factors reverse. Traders price in these near-term catalysts alongside historical base rates that rarely sustain sub-3% averages without sustained rand strength.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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